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中非外交行为与经贸合作互动关系——基于外交事件文本数据的量化研究

Interactions between Sino-African Diplomatic Behavior and Trade and Economic Cooperation:A Quantitative Study Based on Diplomatic Event Text Data

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【作者】 肖皓叶新建赖明勇吴卓麟

【Author】 XIAO Hao;YE Xinjian;LAI Mingyong;WU Zhuolin;School of Economics and Trade,Hunan University;Institute of African Studies,Hunan University;

【机构】 湖南大学经济与贸易学院湖南大学非洲研究院

【摘要】 通过手动整理2000-2019年11437条中非外交往来事件文本数据,考虑外交事件类型异质性和衰减特征的累积效应,首次多维动态量化评估中非外交行为,并实证检验中非外交行为与经济合作间的互动关系。结果显示,中非外交经历快速发展期、波动韧性期和逆势上升期三个阶段,从主体、领域与形式上看公共外交、经济外交和政党外交、规则治理外交的贡献度不断上升;中非外交与经贸合作存在动态正反馈的机制,体现出合作共赢的新型国际关系。

【Abstract】 By manually compiling 11437 text data entries of Sino-African diplomatic interactions from 2000 to 2019, considering the heterogeneity of diplomatic event types as well as the cumulative effects of their attenuation characteristics, this study conducts a multidimensional dynamic quantitative assessment of Sino-African diplomatic behavior for the first time. It empirically examines the interactive relationship between China-Africa diplomacy and economic cooperation. The results show that the overall intensity of Sino-African diplomacy exhibits a fluctuating upward trend, undergoing three stages: rapid development, resilience to fluctuations, and countertrend rise. From the perspectives of subjects, fields, and forms, the contributions of public diplomacy, economic diplomacy, party diplomacy, and rule-governance diplomacy have steadily increased. Moreover, there exists a dynamic positive feedback mechanism between China-Africa diplomacy and economic cooperation, reflecting a new type of international relationship characterized by Win-Win Cooperation.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金应急管理项目:国际营商环境风险对贸易的影响、机制与应对策略(72341021);教育部人文社科重大攻关项目:美国印太经济框架(22JZD042);湖南省自然科学基金面上项目:中国ICT产业的供应链韧性测度与美国制裁风险的综合评估研究(2023JJ30172)
  • 【文献出处】 湖南大学学报(社会科学版) ,Journal of Hunan University(Social Sciences) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2025年01期
  • 【分类号】F125;F14;D822.34
  • 【下载频次】38
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