【摘要】 本文利用2010年至2023年湖南省14个地级市的面板数据，采用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、泰尔指数、马尔科夫链和灰色关联度分析方法，全面分析了数字经济与制造业高质量融合的现状、区域差异、发展趋势以及影响因素。研究发现：湖南省数字经济与制造业的融合程度从2010年的0.350增长到2023年的0.473，年均增长率达到2.35%，整体上呈现中度融合态势，尽管数字经济的发展速度略逊于制造业；区域间的差异明显，湘中和湘北地区的融合水平较高，而湘西地区最低，且湘中和湘西地区的内部差异呈现扩大趋势；融合类型转换的稳定性较强，低水平和高水平状态的维持概率超过77%；城市化水平、经济发展水平和金融化水平对融合的促进作用最为显著。基于这些发现，研究建议通过优化区域协调发展机制、推动数字经济与制造业的协同升级、实施差异化精准策略以及激发市场主体活力等四个方面，促进数字经济与制造业高质量融合水平的进一步提升，实现向高度融合的跃迁。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper utilizes the panel data of 14 prefecture-level cities in Hunan Province from 2010 to 2023, and adopts the entropy method, coupling coordination model, Theil index, Markov chain and grey relational analysis method to comprehensively analyze the current situation, regional differences, development trends and influencing factors of integration between the digital economy and the high-quality manufacturing industry. The findings reveal that the integration degree of the digital economy and high-quality manufacturing industry in Hunan Province increased from 0.301 in 2010 to 0.479 in 2023, with an average annual growth rate of 1.28%, presenting a moderate integration trend on the whole, although the development speed of the digital economy is slightly slower than that of the manufacturing industry. There are significant inter-regional differences: the integration level in central and northern Hunan is relatively high, while that in western Hunan is the lowest, and the internal differences in central and western Hunan show an expanding trend. The stability of the transformation of integration types is highly stable, with the maintenance probability of low-level and high-level states exceeding 77%. Urbanization level, economic development level and financialization level have the most significant promoting effects on the integration. Based on these findings, the study proposes four aspects to promote the further improvement of the high-quality integration level of the digital economy and the manufacturing industry and realize the leap to a high degree of integration,including optimizing the regional coordinated development mechanism, promoting the coordinated upgrading of the digital economy and the manufacturing industry, implementing differentiated and precise strategies,and stimulating the vitality of market players.更多还原