【摘要】 该研究基于灵山县2014—2024年气象与马铃薯产量数据，通过相关性分析探究气温、降水、日照时数、空气湿度等对产量的影响，筛选出关键影响因子，并探讨主要气候要素及农业气象灾害对产量的作用机制，最后提出相应的气候应对策略。结果表明，灵山县冬季气候总体适宜冬种马铃薯生长，其中平均湿度与产量呈显著负相关（尤其是幼苗期），其他气象因子影响不显著；霜冻、干旱和阴雨天气等农业气象灾害会对产量产生负面影响。基于此，可通过优化品种选择、种植时间、田间管理及加强气象灾害防御等方式提升产量。未来需深化多方面协同研究，建立智慧农业决策系统并推广气候保险，以促进马铃薯产业稳定发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the meteorological and potato yield data of Lingshan County from 2014 to 2024, this study explored the impact of temperature, precipitation, sunshine hours, air humidity, etc. on yield through correlation analysis, screened out key influencing factors, discussed the main climatic factors and the mechanism of agricultural meteorological disasters on yield, and finally proposed corresponding climate response strategies. The results showed that the winter climate in Lingshan County was generally suitable for the growth of winter potatoes, and the average humidity was significantly negatively correlated with yield(especially during the seedling period), and other meteorological factors had no significant impact; agricultural meteorological disasters such as frost, drought and rainy weather would have a negative impact on yield. Based on this, yields can be increased by optimizing variety selection, planting time, field management and strengthening meteorological disaster prevention. In the future,it is necessary to deepen multi-faceted collaborative research, establish a smart agricultural decision-making system and promote climate insurance to promote the stable development of the potato industry.更多还原