【摘要】 基于长三角地区15个运河城市2008—2022年面板数据，在测度一体化与文旅融合发展水平的基础上，采用空间面板杜宾模型和的空间衰减距离从全局视角研究一体化对长三角地区运河城市文旅融合发展的影响程度、空间溢出效应及其溢出边界，同时采用时空地理加权回归模型从局部视角研究其时空异质性。结果表明：一体化对本城市和相近城市文旅融合发展水平均具有显著的促进作用，即一体化水平每增长1%,则带动本城市、相近城市文旅融合发展水平分别增长0.072%和0.158%;一体化对文旅融合发展的空间溢出效应随距离增加呈衰减态势，空间溢出边界为170 km; 2008年、2013年、2018年和2022年一体化对文旅融合发展的影响程度处于领先的苏州、无锡始终为强或中推进，杭州、绍兴、宁波、湖州、嘉兴、常州的等级均提升，而宿迁、淮安、扬州等级降低，淮北、宿州、徐州、镇江则在2022年受到了新冠肺炎疫情的影响而降低了等级。更多还原

【Abstract】 Using panel data of 15 the Grand Canal cities in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2008 to 2022, on the basis of measuring the level of integration and the integrated development of culture and tourism, this paper used the spatial panel Durbin model and the spatial decay distance to research the impact, spatial spillover effect, and spillover boundary of integration on the integrated development of culture and tourism in the Grand Canal cities of the Yangtze River Delta region from a global perspective, and this paper also used the spatio-temporal geographically weighted regression model to research the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of its impact from a local perspective. The results indicate that: Integration has a significant promoting effect on the level of cultural and tourism integration development in both this city and similar cities, that is, for every 1% increase in integration level, it will drive the the integrated development level of culture and tourism in this city and similar cities to increase by 0.072% and 0.158% respectively; The spatial spillover effect of integration on the integrated development of culture and tourism shows a decreasing trend with increasing distance, then the spatial spillover boundary is 170 kilometers; For the impact extent of integration on the integrated development of culture and tourism in 2008, 2013, 2018 and 2022, Suzhou and Wuxi, which are in the lead, have always play a strong or medium role in promoting progress, Hangzhou, Shaoxing, Ningbo, Huzhou, Jiaxing and Changzhou have all been upgraded, while Suqian, Huai’an and Yangzhou have been downgraded, Huaibei, Suzhou, Xuzhou and Zhenjiang are affected by the COVID-19 in 2022.更多还原