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乡村振兴与新型城镇化的时空演变及交互响应

Spatiotemporal evolution and interactive response of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization

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【作者】 徐志雄; 徐维祥;

【Author】 XU Zhixiong;XU Weixiang;College of Resources,Environment and Tourism,Hubei University of Arts and Sciences;School of Economics,Zhejiang University of Technology;

【机构】 湖北文理学院资源环境与旅游学院; 浙江工业大学经济学院;

【摘要】 统筹乡村振兴与新型城镇化是实现城乡融合和共同富裕的根本途径。基于2006—2020年中国30个省域的面板数据,运用熵值法测度乡村振兴与新型城镇化综合水平,采用经典时空分析方法刻画二者的时空演变规律,并借助双变量空间自相关与PVAR模型探究二者间的交互响应关系。研究发现:(1)研究期内乡村振兴与新型城镇化综合水平逐步提高,相对差异呈现出“东部>西部>中部”的特征,组间差异是乡村振兴总体差异的主要来源,而新型城镇化组内发展不平衡。(2)乡村振兴与新型城镇化均具有显著的正向空间集聚趋势,二者重心总体向西南方向移动,呈现出“东北—西南”的方向性特征。(3)乡村振兴与新型城镇化空间分布具有相似性,时间上存在互为因果的影响关系,对自身冲击当期作用最大,相互冲击响应程度整体为正值,且乡村振兴发展的路径依赖性低于新型城镇化,新型城镇化对乡村振兴的解释力度不断增强。

【Abstract】 Coordinating rural revitalization and new-type urbanization constitutes a fundamental pathway toward achieving urban-rural integration and common prosperity.Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions) from 2006 to 2020,this study employs the entropy method to measure the comprehensive development levels of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization.Using classical spatiotemporal analysis techniques, we characterize the dynamic evolution of the two strategies and further investigate their interactive relationship through bivariate spatial autocorrelation analysis and the panel vector autoregression(PVAR) model.It is found as follows.(1) From 2006 to 2020,the comprehensive levels of both rural revitalization and new-type urbanization show a gradual increase, with relative disparities exhibiting a pattern of "Eastern China> Western China> Central China".Inter-group differences are the primary source of overall disparity in rural revitalization, whereas intra-group development imbalance is more pronounced in new-type urbanization.(2) Both strategies demonstrate significantly positive spatial agglomeration trends.Their centers of gravity generally shift to the southwest, displaying a directional alignment along the "northeast-southwest" axis.(3) The spatial distribution of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization is similar, and a mutual causal relationship is observed over time.The strongest impact is observed in the current period for each strategy itself.The interactive responses are generally positive, with rural revitalization exhibiting lower path dependence compared to new-type urbanization.Moreover, the explanatory power of new-type urbanization on rural revitalization continues to strengthen over time.

【基金】 国家社会科学基金重大项目“新时代乡村振兴与新型城镇化的战略耦合及协同治理研究”(18ZDA045);湖北文理学院教师科研能力培育基金项目(23pygpsk01);中国商业统计学会年度规划课题重点项目(2024STZD07)
  • 【文献出处】 地理与地理信息科学 ,Geography and Geo-Information Science , 编辑部邮箱 ,2025年06期
  • 【分类号】F299.21;F323
  • 【下载频次】298
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