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法定数字货币与消费韧性:理论模拟和实证分析

The Legal Digital Currency and Consumption Resilience: Theoretical Simulation and Empirical Analysis

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【作者】 汤琛徐晔陶长琪

【Author】 TANG Chen;XU Ye;TAO Changqi;School of Statistics and Data Science, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics;

【通讯作者】 陶长琪;

【机构】 江西财经大学统计与数据科学学院

【摘要】 基于中国数字经济和法定数字货币实践的背景,该文构建了一个包含数字货币与数字经济的多部门动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型,通过模型设定和数值模拟揭示了数字人民币对消费韧性的影响结果与作用机理.在此基础上,该文利用2012—2022年中国297个城市的面板数据与中国数字人民币试点实践,对模型的理论结果进行验证.实证结果显示:数字人民币可以增加消费韧性,这一结论在考虑内生性问题与安慰剂检验等一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立.异质性分析结果表明数字人民币对消费韧性的提升作用在东部地区和外围城市上更加明显.

【Abstract】 Based on the background of China′s digital economy and legal digital currency practice, the multi-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium(DSGE) model including digital currency and digital economy is constructed.Through model setting and numerical simulation, the impact results and mechanism of digital RMB on consumption resilience are revealed.On this basis, the panel data of 297 cities in China from 2012 to 2022 and the pilot practice of China′s digital RMB are used to verify the theoretical results of the model.The empirical results show that digital RMB can increase consumption resilience, which is still true after considering a series of robustness tests such as endogenous problems and placebo test.The results of heterogeneity analysis show that the effect of digital RMB on consumption resilience is more obvious in the eastern region and peripheral cities.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金(71973055,72163008,72473058);江西省哲学社会科学重点研究基地课题(23SKJD18)资助项目
  • 【文献出处】 江西师范大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of Jiangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2025年04期
  • 【分类号】F822;F49;F126.1
  • 【下载频次】89
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