【摘要】 采用文献资料法、逻辑分析法、专家访谈法等研究方法，通过剖析近9届奥运奖牌榜，尤其是近2届奥运会中国队成绩，分析世界体坛格局变迁和我国区域优势项目分布特点，并提出发展建议，旨在为备战下届奥运会提供参考。结果发现：1)近9届奥运会奖牌数排名前列的代表队比较集中，亚洲代表队获得金牌的数量逐步提升，欧洲代表队略有下降，美国代表队长期处于领先地位，中国代表队则紧随其后。2)美国代表队的游泳、田径，日本代表队的摔跤、竞技体操，韩国代表队的射箭、射击，意大利代表队的射击、柔道，澳大利亚代表队和法国代表队的游泳等都是中国代表队的竞争项目。3)在巴黎奥运会上，中国代表队优势项目持续保持领先，但集体球类项目差距明显，体能类基础项目和格斗对抗类项目有发展潜力，新兴项目积累了宝贵发展经验。4)参加巴黎奥运会的中国运动员来源地区、所属民族覆盖面较广，各地在继承传统运动项目优势的同时，还形成了地区新优势。据此，提出备战下届洛杉矶奥运会的建议：1)密切关注洛杉矶奥运会项目增减及新项目国际赛事信息，追踪各单项联合会规则调整情况。2)针对不同项群特点，深入研究不同运动项目、年龄分布等方面的制胜规律，进一步提高科学训练水平，以此夯实传统优势、挖潜基础大项、强化格斗对抗、创新推动新兴、发展集体球类等项目。3)继续组织全国竞技体育“一盘棋”战略、战术研究与实施布局，整合发挥全国各地优势力量。4)重点瞄准美国队，兼顾日本、韩国、意大利、澳大利亚和法国等队伍，开展重点国家和重点项目的情报搜集、分析研究与精细化服务，创建以国家队为核心的全国数字化综合信息融合交流和精细化服务平台，为科学化训练、高效率参赛赋能增智。更多还原

【Abstract】 This study adopts research methods such as literature review, logical analysis, and expert interviews to analyze the changes in the world sports landscape and the distribution characteristics of China’s regionally advantageous events by examining the medal table of in the past nine Olympic Games, with a particular focus on China’s performance in the last two Games. Development suggestions are proposed to provide references for preparing for the next Olympic Games. The findings indicate that:(1) In the past nine Olympic Games, the top-ranked teams in terms of medal counts are relatively concentrated. The number of gold medals won by Asian teams has gradually increased, while that of European teams has slightly decreased. The U.S. team has been leading for a long time, closely followed by the Chinese team.(2) The main competitors and competitive events for China include swimming and athletics for the U.S., wrestling and artistic gymnastics for Japan, archery and shooting for South Korea, shooting and judo for Italy, and swimming for both Austral and France.(3) At the Paris Olympics, the Chinese national team maintained a leading position in advantageous events, but showed a significant gap in team ball sports. Basic physical fitness and combat sports have development potential; emerging sports events have accumulated valuable development experience.(4) Athletes participating in the Paris Olympics from China cover a wide range of regions and ethnic groups, and various regions have formed new local advantages while inheriting traditional sports advantages. Based on these findings, the study proposes suggestions for preparing for the next Olympic Games:(1) Closely monitor the addition and deletion of events at the Los Angeles Olympics and information on international competitions of new events, as well as track rule adjustments by International Federations.(2) Conduct in-depth research on the winning rules of different sports events and age distributions according to the characteristics of different event groups to further improve the level of scientific training, thereby consolidating traditional advantages, tapping the potential of fundamental events, strengthening combat sports, innovating and promoting emerging sports, and developing team ball sports.(3) Continue to organize and implement the national competitive sports “unified strategy and tactics” research and layout, integrating and leveraging the advantageous forces from all over the country.(4) Focus on the U.S. team while taking into account teams from Japan, South Korea, Italy, Australia, and France. Carry out intelligence collection, analysis, and research on main countries and events, and establish a national digital integrated information fusion and exchange platform centered on the national team to provide refined services, empowering and enriching scientific training and efficient competition participation.更多还原