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城市人口多中心化影响土地空间错配的机制及效应

Mechanism and Effect of Urban Population Multi-centralization on Land Spatial Misallocation

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【作者】 程开明张海阳高东东

【Author】 CHENG Kaiming;ZHANG Haiyang;GAO Dongdong;School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhejiang Gongshang University;Collaborative Innovation Center of Statistical Data Engineering, Technology & Application, Zhejiang Gongshang University;

【通讯作者】 高东东;

【机构】 浙江工商大学统计与数学学院浙江工商大学统计数据工程技术与应用协同创新中心

【摘要】 研究目的:探究城市人口多中心化对土地空间错配的影响机制与效应,为优化城市人口分布格局、改善土地空间错配程度、实现城市高质量发展提供有益参考。研究方法:局部空间统计法,固定效应模型,调节效应模型。研究结果:(1)城市人口多中心与土地空间错配之间存在稳健的“U”型关系,随人口多中心度的提升,土地空间错配程度先缓解后加剧;(2)适度的多中心化能够提高土地利用效率与城市创新水平,进而缓解城市土地空间错配程度;(3)城市人口多中心化对土地空间错配的作用受到城市人口规模和官员晋升压力的调节效应影响;(4)合适的中心数量、中心分散度及中心均衡性有利于缓解土地空间错配。研究结论:城市人口空间布局需考虑自身条件,坚持紧凑型发展模式,谨防过度集中和无序蔓延。

【Abstract】 The purpose of this study is to explore the mechanism and effect of urban population centralization on land spatial misallocation,to provide the references for optimizing urban population distribution pattern,enhancing the degree of land spatial misallocation,and achieving high-quality urban development.The research methods include local spatial statistics,fixed effect model and adjustment effect model.The research results show that:1) there is a steady “U-shaped” relationship between urban population polycentricity and land spatial misallocation.With the increase of population polycentricity,land spatial misallocation degree first alleviates and then intensifies.2) Moderate multi-center pattern can improve the efficiency of land use and the level of urban innovation,and alleviate the degree of land spatial misallocation.3) The effect of urban population polycentricity on land spatial misallocation is moderated by urban size and official promotion.4) Moderate center number,center dispersion and center balance are beneficial to alleviate land spatial misallocation.In conclusion,the urban population layout should consider the city’s own conditions,adhere to the compact development,beware of excessive concentration and disorderly spread,and realize the efficient allocation and sustainable use of land resources.

【基金】 国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国城镇化阶段性特征统计测度及驱动效应评估研究”(20&ZD133);浙江工商大学“数字+”学科建设项目(SZJ20224008)
  • 【文献出处】 中国土地科学 ,China Land Science , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年12期
  • 【分类号】C924.2;F301.2
  • 【下载频次】157
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