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工业用地“亩均论英雄”政策扩散的时空特征及影响因素——基于273个地级市的事件史分析

Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Influencing Factors of the Diffusion of the “Area-based Evaluation Mechanism” Policy for Industrial Land:An Event History Analysis Based on 273 Prefecture-Level Cities

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【作者】 朱乾隆马贤磊石晓平图木

【Author】 ZHU Qianlong;MA Xianlei;SHI Xiaoping;TU Mu;College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University;China Resources, Environment and Development Academy, Nanjing Agricultural University;Land and Space Planning Institute of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region;

【通讯作者】 石晓平;

【机构】 南京农业大学公共管理学院南京农业大学中国资源环境与发展研究院内蒙古自治区国土空间规划院

【摘要】 研究目的:探究工业用地“亩均论英雄”政策扩散的时空特征与影响因素,为理解地方政府政策创新和采纳的行为逻辑以及拓展政策扩散理论在城市土地领域的应用提供参考。研究方法:基于2013—2021年中国273个地级市数据,采用事件史分析方法。研究结果:(1)工业用地“亩均论英雄”政策扩散在时间上呈现阶梯型扩散特征;在空间上总体表现为自东部向中西部扩散,具有明显的邻近效应,且空间分布不均匀。(2)土地指标约束、地方财政状况、上级政府压力、同级政府竞争和主政官员年龄是影响地级市工业用地“亩均论英雄”政策扩散的关键因素,而地均工业产出和主政官员任期等因素的影响并不显著。研究结论:地方政府应结合地区发展实际,通过优化横向和纵向府际关系以及规范政策制定与创新程序,因地制宜、因时制宜地探索“亩均论英雄”改革,以政策体系优化回应工业用地配置的治理需求。

【Abstract】 The purpose of this study is to investigate the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of the diffusion of the “area-based evaluation mechanism” policy for industrial land,to provide insights into the behavioral logic behind local governments’ policy innovation and adoption and to extend the application of policy diffusion theory to the field of urban land management.The research method of the event history analysis is adopted based on the data of 273 prefecture-level cities in China from 2013 to 2021.The research results show that:1) the diffusion of the “area-based evaluation mechanism” policy for industrial land exhibits a stepwise diffusion pattern over time.Spatially,the diffusion generally extends from the eastern region to the central and western regions,showing a clear neighboring effect,with an uneven spatial distribution.2) The key factors affecting the diffusion of the “area-based evaluation mechanism” policy at the prefecture level include constraints on land quotas,local fiscal conditions,pressures from higher government levels,competition among peer governments and ages of officials.However,factors such as per-acre industrial output and officials’ tenure are not significant.In conclusion,local governments should optimize horizontal and vertical intergovernmental relationships and standardize policy formulation and innovation procedures based on the actual development of the region.The reform of “area-based evaluation mechanism” should be launched according to local conditions through optimizing the policy system to respond to the governance needs of industrial land allocation.

【基金】 国家社会科学基金哲学社会科学领军人才项目(22VRC163);教育部高等学校学科创新引智计划资助项目(111引智计划)(B17024);南京农业大学中央高校基本科研业务费人文社会科学研究基金(SKYZ2023004)
  • 【文献出处】 中国土地科学 ,China Land Science , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年11期
  • 【分类号】F301.2;F424
  • 【下载频次】179
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