【摘要】 利用世界银行和亚洲开发银行数据库数据，分别构建62个经济体区域贸易协定深度和全球供应链韧性指数，从中间品贸易视角研究区域贸易协定深化对全球供应链韧性的影响。研究表明：区域贸易协定深化对全球供应链韧性起到显著的促进作用。从国别角度看，在经济发展水平相似的经济体之间，其影响更为显著；从区域角度看，亚洲地区促进效应明显，欧美地区促进效应不明显；从双边政治关系角度看，政治关系越紧密提升效应越强；机制分析表明，区域贸易协定深化不仅可以通过降低双边贸易成本，增加中间品贸易规模品种和产品种类，还能通过提高贸易双方的制度质量，促使企业建立合规的供应链体系提升供应链韧性水平；拓展分析发现，第三国区域贸易协定深化引致的贸易转移效应不利于提升全球供应链韧性。更多还原

【Abstract】 Using the World Bank database and ADB-MRIO database, this paper constructs regional trade agreements(RTAs) depth and global supply chain resilience indexes for 62 economies respectively, and investigates the impact of deepening regional trade agreements on global supply chain resilience from the perspective of intermediate goods trade. Our findings show that the deepening of regional trade agreements plays a significant role in strengthening the resilience of global supply chains. From a country perspective, the deepening of regional trade agreements has a more significant impact on the resilience of global supply chains for the economies with similar economic development levels. From a regional perspective, the enhancing effect in Asia is obvious while the enhancing effect is not so obvious in the EU and North America. From the perspective of bilateral political relations, the closer the political relationship,the stronger the enhancing effect is. Mechanism analysis shows that the deepening of regional trade agreements can not only increase the variety and scale of intermediate goods trade by reducing bilateral trade costs, but also benefit enterprises to establish a compliant supply chain system and improve supply chain resilience by improving the institutional quality of the RTAs members. The paper further finds that the trade diversion effect caused by the deepening of regional trade agreements in the third economies is not conducive to improving the resilience of global supply chains.更多还原