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基于耦合度模型的快递业与制造业协调发展评价
Evaluation of Coordinated Development Between Express Delivery Industry and Manufacturing Industry Based on Coupling Model
【摘要】 快递业和制造业协调发展是促进两业高质量发展的主要路径。构建快递业和制造业协调发展指标体系,采用熵权法确定序参量有序度的权重,计算两业发展总有序度,利用耦合协调理论构建两业协调发展评价模型,并以我国2010—2021年两业发展数据作为实证研究。实证结果表明,所构建的协调发展评价模型能够客观描述两业协调发展水平,也可刻画两业协调发展的演化历程。结果显示,2010—2017年期间我国快递业发展相对滞后,2018—2021年期间制造业发展呈现相对滞后的态势;2010—2021年期间我国快递业与制造业经历了从极度失调状态到良好协调发展的演化过程,两业协调发展水平呈现上升态势。
【Abstract】 The coordinated development of express delivery industry and manufacturing industry is the main path to promote the high-quality development of the two industries. This paper builds an indicator system for the coordinated development of express delivery industry and manufacturing industry, uses entropy weight method to determine the weight of the order degree, calculates overall order degree of the development of the two industries, uses the coupling coordination theory to build an evaluation model for the coordinated development of the two industries, and take the development data of China’s two industries from 2010 to 2021 as an empirical study. The empirical results show that the evaluation model of coordinated development can objectively describe the level of coordinated development of the two industries, as well as the evolution process of coordinated development of the two industries. The results show that the development of China’s express delivery industry is relatively backward from 2010 to 2017, and the development of manufacturing industry is relatively backward from 2018 to 2021; From 2010 to 2021, China’s express delivery industry and manufacturing industry experienced an evolutionary process from extreme imbalance to well-coordinated development, and the level of coordination between the two industries showed an upward trend.
【Key words】 Express delivery industry; Manufacturing industry; Coordinated develop; Entropy weight method; Coupling model;
- 【文献出处】 综合运输 ,China Transportation Review , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年01期
- 【分类号】F259.2;F424
- 【下载频次】53