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福建省2009—2023年登革热流行病学特征
Epidemiological characteristics of dengue fever in Fujian Province, 2009-2023
【摘要】 目的 分析2009—2023年福建省登革热发病趋势和流行特征,探索高发人群和热点区域,为制定针对性防控措施提供科学依据。方法 从中国疾病预防控制信息系统收集2009—2023年福建省登革热监测资料,采用描述性流行病学方法进行分析,并对各县(区)发病率进行空间自相关分析。结果 2009—2023年福建省登革热共报告发病3 586例,年均发病率为0.61/10万,疫情总体呈逐年上升趋势(Z=18.35,P<0.001)。其中本地病例2 362例、输入病例1 224例,本地/输入比为1.93∶1(2 362∶1 224)。本地病例主要分布在福州市、莆田市和南平市,合计占87.81%(2 074/2 362);输入病例主要分布在泉州市、福州市和厦门市,合计占72.55%(888/1 224)。本地/输入比,福州市、南平市和莆田市分别为6.20∶1(1 557∶251)、3.92∶1(145∶37)、3.32∶1(372∶112),均高于全省平均水平。本地疫情空间分布呈聚类模式,有12个发病热点区域,均为福州市所辖县区。发病具有明显季节性:境外输入以7—9月(占45.73%,519/1 135)为主,省外输入以8—11月(占93.25%,83/89)为主,本地病例以8—10月(占97.50%,2 303/2 362)为主。本地病例男女性别比0.88∶1,输入病例3.04∶1;本地病例发病年龄M(P25,P75)为48(32,62)岁,输入病例发病年龄M(P25,P75)为35(28,44)岁。结论 2009—2023年福建省登革热疫情呈持续上升态势,发病存在时空聚集性,应在高发季节针对重点地区和人群加强防控措施。
【Abstract】 Objective To analyze the incidence trend and epidemiological characteristics of dengue fever in Fujian Province from 2009 to 2023, identify the high-incidence population and hotspot areas, and a scientific basis for formulatingtargeted prevention and control measures.Methods The surveillance data of dengue fever during 2009-2023 in FujianProvince were obtained from the National Disease Reporting Information System and analyzed using descriptiveepidemiological methods, and the spatial autocorrelation analysis of dengue fever incidence at county/district levels was performed with Arc Gl S 10.8.ResultsA total of 3 586 cases of dengue fever were reported in Fujian Province from 2009 to2023, with an average annual incidence rate of 0.61/100 000, showing an overall increasing trend year by year(Z=18.35, P<0.001). Among them, there were 2 362 local cases and 1 224 imported cases, with a local/imported ratio of 1.93∶1(2 362/1 224). The local cases were mainly distributed in Fuzhou, Putian, and Nanping, accounting for 87.81%(2 074/2 362). Theimported cases were mainly distributed in Quanzhou, Fuzhou, and Xiamen, accounting for 72.55%(888/1 224). The local/imported ratio in Fuzhou, Nanping, and Putian was 6.20∶1(1 557/251), 3.92∶1(145/37), and 3.32∶1(372/112), respectively,all significantly higher than the provincial average level. The spatial distribution of the local cases showed a clustered pattern,with 12 hotspots of incidence, all located in the counties and districts under the jurisdiction of Fuzhou. The onset of the diseasehad obvious seasonality: imported cases from other countries or regions mainly occurred from July to September(accounting for 45.73%, 519/1 135), imported cases from other provinces mainly occurred from August to November(accounting for 93.25%,83/89), and local cases mainly occurred from August to October(accounting for 97.50%, 2 303/2 362). The gender ratio forlocal cases was 0.88∶1, and for imported cases, it was 3.04∶1. The average age of onset for local cases was 48 years old(Q1=32years old, Q3=62 years old), while the average age for imported cases was 35 years old(Q1=28 years old, Q3=44 years old).ConclusionsFrom 2009 to 2023, the dengue fever epidemic in Fujian Province showed a continuous upward trend, withspatiotemporal clustering of incidence. Therefore, prevention and control measures should be strengthened in key areas andpopulations during the high-incidence season.
【Key words】 Dengue fever; epidemiological characteristic; hotspot analysis; Fujian Province;
- 【文献出处】 中国热带医学 ,China Tropical Medicine , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年08期
- 【分类号】R512.8;R181.3
- 【下载频次】41