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西北五省农村物流发展水平测度及障碍因素分析

Measurement of Rural Logistics Development Level and Analysis of Obstacles in Five Northwest Provinces

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【作者】 姚瑞祥张艳荣

【Author】 YAO Ruixiang;ZHANG Yanrong;College of Finance and Economics, Gansu Agricultural University;

【机构】 甘肃农业大学财经学院

【摘要】 文章以西北五省为研究对象,构建了包含经济环境、基础设施水平、物流发展规模和信息化水平4个准则层,15个指标层的农村物流发展水平评价指标体系。借助熵值法、泰尔指数和障碍度模型对2012—2021年间西北五省农村物流发展水平进行测度,并找出障碍因子。结果表明:(1) 2012—2021年西北五省农村物流发展水平不断提高,增长速度较快,年均增长率都在10%以上。目前发展水平从高到低依次为:陕西、宁夏、青海、甘肃、新疆。(2)西北五省农村物流发展水平差异程度不断缩小,泰尔指数从2012年的0.144 8下降到2021年的0.024 7,年均下降17.84%。(3)五个省份物流发展规模和基础设施水平准则层的障碍度之和均超过70%。从具体指标来看,制约陕西省农村物流发展的最大障碍因子是每万人拥有民用载货汽车数量,甘肃和宁夏的最大障碍因素是农村人均快递量,而公路网密度是影响青海和新疆农村物流发展的最大障碍因素。最后根据研究结果,提出了相应的政策建议。

【Abstract】 Taking the five northwestern provinces as the research objects, this paper constructs a rural logistics development level evaluation index system with four standard layers and 15 index layers including economic environment, infrastructure level, logistics development scale and informatization level. With the help of entropy method, Thiel index and barrier degree model, the development level of rural logistics in the five northwestern provinces from 2012 to 2021 was measured, and the obstacle factors were identified. The results show that:(1) From 2012 to 2021, the development level of rural logistics in the five northwestern provinces continued to improve, and the growth rate was relatively fast, with an average annual growth rate of more than 10%. At present, the level of development is, from high to low: Shaanxi, Ningxia,Qinghai, Gansu and Xinjiang.(2) The difference in rural logistics development levels in the five northwestern provinces has been narrowing, and the Thiel index has decreased from0.144 8 in 2012 to 0.024 7 in 2021, with an average annual decrease of 17.84%.(3) The sum of the obstacles at the standard level of logistics development and infrastructure level in the five provinces exceeded 70%. From the perspective of specific indicators, the biggest obstacle to the development of rural logistics in Shaanxi Province is the number of civilian trucks per 10 000 people, Gansu and Ningxia are the per capita express delivery volume in rural areas, and the density of the road network is the biggest obstacle affecting the development of rural logistics in Qinghai and Xinjiang. Finally,according to the research results, corresponding policy suggestions are put forward.

【基金】 甘肃农业大学科技创新基金项目“甘肃省乡村振兴战略的制度供给研究”(GSAU-XKJS-2018-245)
  • 【文献出处】 物流科技 ,Logistics Sci-Tech , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年17期
  • 【分类号】F326.6;F259.27
  • 【下载频次】141
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