【摘要】 内镜逆行胰胆管造影术后胰腺炎（PEP）是内镜逆行胰胆管造影术最常见的并发症之一，国内外基于不同的统计学方法建立了多个PEP预测模型。PEP预测模型作为评估和筛查高风险人群的工具，可为医务人员早期发现PEP高危患者并采取有效预防措施提供依据。近年来，新的PEP预测模型相继出现，但目前临床上仍然缺乏公认的可靠预测模型。本文对PEP风险预测模型的研究现状进行了综述，为后期建立一个更可靠、准确、实用的PEP风险预测模型提供方向。更多还原

【Abstract】 Post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis(PEP) is one of the most common complications after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography(ERCP). Numerous PEP prediction models have been established based on different statistical methods at home and abroad. The PEP prediction model, as a tool for evaluating and screening high-risk populations, can provide a basis for medical staff to find high-risk PEP patients early and take effective preventive measures. In recent years, new PEP prediction models have appeared one after another, but there is still a lack of recognized reliable prediction models in clinic. This article reviews the research status of PEP risk prediction models, aim to provide a direction for establishing a more reliable,accurate,and practical PEP risk prediction model in the later period.更多还原