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中国经济高质量发展水平:测度、时空演变与动态空间收敛性

The Measurement, Spatial-temporal Evolution and Dynamic Spatial Convergence of China’s High-quality Economic Development Level

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【作者】 张秀张耀峰张志刚

【Author】 ZHANG Xiu;ZHANG Yaofeng;ZHANG Zhigang;

【机构】 湖北经济学院统计与数学学院湖北经济学院湖北数据与分析中心

【摘要】 本文运用逐层纵横向拉开档次客观赋权法测度了基于五大发展理念构建的中国经济高质量发展指数,并探究其时空演变特征及动态空间收敛性特征。研究发现:中国经济高质量发展整体呈现向好态势,但仍然处于较低水平,五大维度中创新发展指数最小。除西部地区经济高质量发展水平差距增大外,全国整体与其他三大区域均呈现“水平上升,差距缩小”的特征,这种差异主要来源于地区间差异;各区域发展水平较高的省份始终保持领先优势,并且全国、中、东北地区均存在不同程度的两极分化现象。全国经济高质量发展同时存在显著的绝对β与条件β动态空间收敛特征;分区域研究中,东部、东北同时存在显著的绝对β与条件β动态空间收敛特征,而中部地区仅存在条件β动态空间收敛特征。本文的研究为合理缩小区域差异,助推经济高质量快速发展提供了意见参考。

【Abstract】 In this paper, we measure the high-quality development index of China’s economy based on the Five Major Development Concepts by using the“Vertical and Horizontal”Scatter Degree method, and explore the characteristics of its spatial-temporal evolution and dynamic spatial convergence.Research findings: Chinas high-quality economic development shows a good trend on the whole, but it is still at a low level, the innovation development index is the smallest among the five dimensions.In addition to the increasing gap in the level of high-quality economic development in the western region, the national level and the other three regions showed the different characteristics of a“rising level, narrowing gap”,with such differences mainly originating from inter-regional disparities; and provinces with higher level of regional development always maintain a leading advantage, and there are different degrees of polarization in the country, central and Northeast regions.The high-quality development of the national economy has obvious spatial convergence characteristics of absolute β and conditional β dynamic; In the region respect, there are both absolute β and conditional β dynamic spatial convergence features in eastern and northeastern regions, while only conditional β dynamic spatial convergence features exist in central region.The research of this paper provides suggestions for reducing regional differences reasonably and promoting high-quality and rapid economic development.

【基金】 国家社会科学基金重大项目“工业大数据统计测度理论及应用研究”(21&ZD152)子课题《工业大数据统计测度的理论体系的构建》(21&ZD152-1),项目负责人:张耀峰;国家社会科学基金一般项目“基于人工智能与多源异构数据的上市公司财务困境预警研究”(19BTJ030),项目负责人:张志刚
  • 【文献出处】 经济问题探索 ,Inquiry into Economic Issues , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年01期
  • 【分类号】F124
  • 【下载频次】215
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