【摘要】 文章基于新发展理念并结合中国式现代化的五大特征，构建了经济现代化、创新现代化、共享现代化、生态现代化、治理现代化五个维度的中国式现代化指标体系，依据各省统计年鉴和百度指数数据使用熵权法测算2012-2021年中国31个省份的中国式现代化水平。采用核密度估计、σ收敛模型、β收敛模型和基于动态时间规整的面板数据K中心点聚类算法，分析了中国式现代化的动态演化特征、收敛机制以及发展的模式。研究结果表明：2012-2021年中国式现代化水平逐步提升；东部地区的中国式现代化水平最高，中部地区的增速最高，西部和东北地区存在中国式现代化水平低且增长乏力的问题；全国各省份的中国式现代化水平绝对收敛速度为0.7%,条件收敛速度为3%,不存在σ收敛；聚类分析发现存在发展型和变革型两类中国式现代化模式：发展型中国式现代化以经济现代化为抓手，在共享现代化和生态现代化上表现优异；变革型中国式现代化勇于变革制度寻求突破创新，侧重于治理现代化和创新现代化。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the new concept for development and combining the five characteristics of the Chinese path to modernization, a Chinese path to modernization indicator system has been constructed, encompassing five dimensions: economic modernization, innovation modernization, shared modernization, ecological modernization, and governance modernization. Using the entropy weight method and data from provincial statistical yearbooks and Baidu Index, the level of the Chinese path to modernization was measured for 31 provinces(municipalities, autonomous regions) in China from 2012 to 2021. Additionally, techniques such as kernel density estimation, σ-convergence model, β-convergence model, and panel data K medoids clustering algorithm based on dynamic time warping were employed to analyze the dynamic evolution characteristics, convergence mechanism, and development patterns of the Chinese path to modernization. The research findings indicate that the level of the Chinese path to modernization has gradually improved from 2012 to 2021. The eastern region exhibits the highest level of the Chinese path to modernization, while the central region demonstrates the highest growth rate. However, the western and northeastern regions face challenges of low levels and sluggish growth of the Chinese path to modernization. The absolute convergence rate of the Chinese path to modernization across all provinces is 0.7%, and the conditional convergence rate is 3%, but no σ-convergence is observed. Cluster analysis reveals two types of Chinese path to modernization: developmental and transformative. The developmental path focuses on economic modernization, with outstanding achievements in shared modernization and ecological modernization. The transformative path seeks breakthroughs and innovations through institutional reforms, emphasizing governance modernization and innovative modernization.更多还原