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泰州市大气NO2对儿童门诊量影响的时间序列分析

Effect of atmospheric NO2 pollution on outpatient visits of children in Taizhou City,Jiangsu province:a time series study

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【作者】 王莉; 黄久红; 王伟;

【Author】 WANG Li;HUANG Jiu-hong;WANG Wei;Department of Environmental Health,Taizhou Disease Prevention and Control Center;

【机构】 泰州市疾病预防控制中心环境健康科;

【摘要】 目的 探讨泰州市大气NO2对儿童门诊就诊量的影响。方法 收集泰州市2023年1月1日—12月31日气象资料(包括日平均温度、日平均相对湿度、日平均气压)、环保资料(包括每日PM10、PM2.5、SO2、NO2、CO、O3-8 h平均质量浓度)以及同期某综合性医院儿科门诊就诊数据。通过广义相加模型的时间序列分析方法,分析泰州市大气NO2浓度与同期儿科门诊就诊人次的关系。结果 Spearman相关分析显示,大气污染物NO2与其他大气污染物SO2、CO、O3-8 h、PM10和PM2.5均存在正相关(P<0.05)。单污染物模型中,当NO2日均质量浓度每升高10μg/m3时,其对当日呼吸系统疾病门诊量和日门诊总量均产生了明显影响,分别增加0.48%(95%CI:0.18%~0.77%)、0.16%(95%CI:0.04%~0.27%)。多污染物模型中,纳入其他5种污染物(SO2、CO、PM10、PM2.5、O3-8 h)后,NO2质量浓度的变化对儿童呼吸系统疾病门诊量和儿童日门诊总量的影响仍有统计学效应(P<0.05)。结论 泰州市NO2质量浓度与本次调查的儿童门诊就诊风险增加有相关性,且存在滞后效应。

【Abstract】 Objective To understand the effect of atmospheric NO2 on visits of the pediatric department in Taizhou City.Methods From January 1,2023 to December 31,2023,the daily meteorological information (daily mean temperature,humidity and atmospheric pressure),and air pollutants(PM2.5,PM10,SO2,NO2 and O3-8 h)and the daily data of pediatric outpatient visits in a general hospital during the same period.The relationship between NO2 concentration and daily pediatric outpatient visits in Taizhou was analyzed by generalized additive model (GAM).Results Spearman correlation analysis showed that air pollutant NO2 was positively correlated with other air pollutants SO2,CO,O3-8 h,PM10 and PM2.5(P<0.05).Significant associations were showed between NO2 and children daily outpatient volume and respiratory department visiting (lag0),and ERs were 0.16%(95%CI:0.04%-0.27%) and 0.48%(95%CI:0.18%-0.77%) associated with an increase of 10μg/m3NO2.After controlling other pollutants(SO2,CO,PM10,PM2.5,O3-8 h) simultaneously,significant association were still found between NO2 and children daily outpatient amount and respiratory department visits (P<0.05).Conclusion Atmospheric NO2 pollution level has a significant impact on visits of the pediatric department in Taizhou City,with a certain lagged effect.

【关键词】 NO2; 儿童门诊量; 时间序列分析;
【Key words】 NO2; Outpatient visits of children; Time series study;
【基金】 泰州市科技局社会发展项目(SSF20230130)
  • 【文献出处】 环境与健康杂志 ,Journal of Environment and Health , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年10期
  • 【分类号】R122.26
  • 【下载频次】37
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