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黑龙江省两城市大气污染与居民非意外日死亡的相关性研究

Relationship between air pollution and non-accidental daily death of residents in two cities of Heilongjiang province

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【作者】 郑晶; 刘晓秋; 李宏威; 唐剑辉; 刘芳;

【Author】 ZHENG Jing;LIU Xiao-qiu;LI Hong-wei;TANG Jian-hui;LIU Fang;Environment and Health Department,Heilongjiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention;

【机构】 黑龙江省疾病预防控制中心环境与健康所;

【摘要】 目的分析比较黑龙江省两城市大气污染对居民非意外日死亡的影响。方法收集黑龙江省H市和J市2016—2018年居民非意外日死亡人数、大气污染物质量浓度及气象因素数据,采用时间序列广义相加模型定量研究PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2、O3和CO这6种大气污染物质量浓度对当地居民非意外死亡的影响。结果H市大气中PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2、O3和CO日均质量浓度分别为49.2、74.3、23.9、40.3、78.4μg/m3和1.0 mg/m3,J市分别为32.6、49.0、9.0、21.2、79.2μg/m3和0.6 mg/m3。H市和J市平均非意外每日总死亡人数分别为162、39例。各污染物浓度每增加10μg/m3,H市和J市PM2.5致居民非意外日死亡人数分别增加0.26%(lag0)和0.35%(lag0),PM10分别增加0.19%(lag2)和0.31%(lag0),SO2分别增加1.06%(lag2)和2.78%(lag1),NO2分别增加0.85%(lag2)和1.31%(lag1),CO分别增加0.04%(lag5)和0.06%(lag0),O3分别增加0.83%(lag1)和0.64%(lag6)。H市PM2.5对总人群的影响大于≥65岁人群和<65岁人群,NO2、O3和CO对H市≥65岁人群影响最大,PM10和SO2对H市<65岁人群影响最大,而PM2.5、PM10、NO2、O3和CO对J市<65岁人群影响最大。结论大气污染短期暴露可增加居民非意外日死亡风险,J市大气污染物(除O3外)对居民非意外日死亡的影响风险高于H市,两城市SO2、NO2和O3对居民非意外日死亡的影响值得关注。

【Abstract】 Objectives To understand the effect of air pollution on non-accidental daily death of local residents in two cities of Heilongjiang province.Methods The total non-accidental daily death toll of residents,air pollutant concentrations and meteorological data from 2016 to 2018 in city H and J of Heilongjiang province were collected,and the effects of pollutant concentrations of PM2.5,PM10,SO2,NO2,O3and CO on non-accidental death of residents were quantitatively studied by using generalized additive model of time-series.Results Daily average concentrations of PM2.5,PM10,SO2,NO2,O3and CO in the air were 49.2,74.3,23.9,40.3,78.4μg/m3and 1.0 mg/m3in city H,and were 32.6,49.0,9.0,21.2,79.2μg/m3and 0.6 mg/m3in city J,respectively.The average daily non-accidental deaths was 162 in city H and 39 in city J respectively.With an increase of 10μg/m3of the pollutants,the daily non-accidental deaths for PM2.5exposure in city H and city J increased by 0.26%(lag0)and 0.35%(lag0) respectively,and the daily non-accidental deaths increased by 0.19%(lag2) and 0.31%(lag0) for PM10respectively,and 1.06%(lag2) and 2.78%(lag1) for SO2,and 0.85%(lag2) and 1.31%(lag1) for NO2,and 0.04%(lag5) and0.06%(lag0) for CO,and 0.83%(lag1) and 0.64%(lag6) for O3.PM2.5had significant effect on the people aged≥65 and aged<65,and NO2,O3and CO had significant effect on people aged≥65 in H city,as well as the significant effect of PM10and SO2on the people aged over 65.However,PM2.5,PM10,NO2,O3and CO had significant effect on the people aged<65 in city J.Conclusion Short-term exposure to air pollution can raise the total non-accidental daily death risk of residents,the risk caused by air pollutants (except O3) in city J is higher than that in city H,and also the total non-accidental daily death risk caused by SO2,NO2and O3in two cities should be paid more attention.

【基金】 黑龙江省卫生计生委科技计划项目(2018-554)
  • 【文献出处】 环境与健康杂志 ,Journal of Environment and Health , 编辑部邮箱 ,2024年04期
  • 【分类号】X51;R122
  • 【下载频次】6
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