【摘要】 基于RCEP实施的背景,根据2010—2020年中国与RCEP国家蔬菜出口贸易的面板数据构建引力模型,实证分析中国与14个成员国蔬菜出口贸易的影响因素,并对贸易潜力进行测算。结果表明,双方人均GDP、成员国人口数量、中国的耕地面积以及APEC的加入等因素能够显著促进中国的蔬菜出口;中国与RCEP国家的贸易潜力值总体较高,均属于潜力开拓型;研究期内老挝和缅甸的贸易潜力波动幅度较大,存在一定拓展空间。在此基础上,从紧抓RCEP发展契机、强化国家政府间合作、充分注重国家间异质性以及加大蔬菜技术研发扶持四个方面提出对策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the background of RCEP implementation,the gravity model was constructed according to the panel data of vegetable export trade between China and RCEP countries from 2010 to 2020,the influencing factors of vegetable export trade between China and 14 member countries were empirically analyzed,and the trade potential was calculated. The results showed that the per capita GDP of both sides,population of the member countries,cultivated land area of China and the entry of APEC could significantly promote China’s vegetable export;the trade potential value between China and RCEP countries was generally high,and they were all potentially pioneering;during the sample period,the trade potential of Laos and Myanmar fluctuated greatly and had great room for expansion. On this basis,some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward from four aspects of grasping the development opportunity of RCEP,strengthening the cooperation between governments,paying full attention to the heterogeneity between countries and increasing the support for vegetable technology research and development.更多还原