【摘要】 建筑玻璃工业属于能源和碳排放密集型产业，行业本身减排难度大同时肩负建筑领域碳中和重任，建筑玻璃需求仍将持续增长，进一步加大减排难度。通过分析2010—2022年建筑面积和建筑玻璃产量数据，对建筑玻璃面积-建筑面积进行线性拟合，结合对未来建筑面积的情景分析，预测2023—2040年建筑玻璃需求量和碳排放量，并量化分析减薄等主要达峰路径。预测结果分析可得：加速减薄玻璃厚度，在保障建筑对玻璃面积规模需求的同时，可实现建筑玻璃工业碳达峰。更多还原

【Abstract】 The architectural glass industry belongs to the energy and carbon emission intensive industry,and is one of the key carbon emission industries in the building materials industry. By analyzing the data of building area and building glass production from 2010 to 2022, performs linear fitting between glass area and building floor area, and combines scenario analysis of future building floor area to predict the demand for building glass from 2023 to 2040, thereby predicting carbon emissions.更多还原