【摘要】 目的 为进一步提高海关监管部门对进口酒类安全风险的预测预警能力，保障我国食品安全，加速通关效率，构建进口酒类安全风险模糊综合评价模型。方法 基于调查结果，利用层次分析法计算各指标的权重，运用风险矩阵获得模糊隶属度矩阵，进行模糊综合运算得到各级指标风险值，同时模型引入动态调节因子，最终实现对具体批次进口酒的风险等级评价。结果 我国进口酒类安全风险等级为中风险，检测项目中甲醇风险值最高（82.917），纳他霉素风险值最低（52.083）。结论 模型可根据进口酒类总体风险等级和检测项目风险值大小输出推荐检测项目，具有较高的可靠性，可为进口食品安全风险评价及管理工作提供参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 Objective To improve the prediction and early warning ability of the customs supervision department on the safety risk of imported alcohol, ensure food safety in China, and accelerate the efficiency of customs clearance, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of imported alcohol safety risk based on analytic hierarchy process and risk matrix was constructed.Methods Based on the expert investigation results, the weight of each index was determined using the analytic hierarchy process, and the fuzzy membership matrices were obtained using the risk matrix. Subsequently, the risk value of each index was obtained using a fuzzy comprehensive algorithm. Simultaneously, a dynamic adjustment factor was introduced to finally realize the risk grade evaluation of specific batches of imported alcohol.Results The safety risk level of imported alcohol for China was medium. Among the analyzed items, methanol had the highest risk value(82. 917), while natamycin had the lowest risk value(52. 083).Conclusion The recommended detection items can be output by the established model according to the overall risk level of imported alcohol and the risk value of detection items. The model has high reliability and can provide a reference for the safety risk assessment and management of imported food.更多还原