【摘要】 香港作为国际金融中心，电力是其现代经济社会稳健发展的最基本保障。香港电力消费与当地的人口数量、经济增速、第三产业占比等因素相关性高。基于1990—2022年香港电力消费及主要影响因素的多元回归分析，预测2023—2050年香港电力消费及分布状况。从香港电力消费的特点与发展趋势看，为如期实现“双碳”目标，香港应进一步深化与粤港澳大湾区的能源合作，加大推进“节能绿建”力度。更多还原

【Abstract】 Hong Kong is an international financial center, and electricity is the most basic guarantee for its robust modern economic and social development. The correlations between Hong Kong’s electricity consumption and local population, economic growth rate and tertiary industry is high, with a correlation of more than 0.5. Based on the multiple regression analysis of electricity consumption and main influencing factors from 1990 to 2022, we predict the electricity consumption and distribution in Hong Kong from 2023 to 2050. According to the characteristics and development trends of electricity consumption in Hong Kong, in order to achieve the goal of "Double Carbon" on scheduled, Hong Kong should further deepen the energy cooperation with Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and increase the efforts of "Energy Saving and Green Building".更多还原