【摘要】 基于以中国大陆、中国台湾、美国为核心的多经济体多部门模型，可从全球价值链下的增加值分解角度，探讨台湾地区产业结构演进的动力来源问题。研究发现，除健康、教育与公共服务业，资本密集型服务业，知识密集型服务业的演进动力主要源于台湾地区内部需求之外，其他产业的演进更多依赖经贸伙伴的助力，其中中国大陆的最终需求变化效应贡献最大。全球价值链下台湾地区产业结构演进的动力来源及其作用机制可归结为市场需求整合与扩张机制下的产业规模扩大化、要素供给累积与优化配置机制下的产业高质化以及全球生产一体化机制下的产业分工及合作多元化。台湾地区宜进一步拓宽、延伸、拉长岛内产业链，优化配置两岸产业链资源。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on a multi-economy and multi-sector model centered on the Chinese mainland, Taiwan region, and the United States, this paper explores the driving forces behind the evolution of Taiwan region’s industrial structure from the perspective of value-added decomposition in the global value chain. The study finds that the driving forces behind the growth of the health, education, public service sectors, and capital-intensive and knowledge-intensive service industries mainly came from domestic demand in Taiwan region, while the evolution of other industries relied more on the assistance of economic and trade partners, with the Chinese mainland’s final demand having the greatest contribution. The driving forces and mechanisms of the evolution of Taiwan region’s industrial structure in the global value chain can be attributed to multiple factors: the industrial scale expansion under the mechanism of market demand integration and expansion, the industrial high quality under the mechanism of factor supply accumulation and optimal allocation, and the diversified industrial division and cooperation under the global production integration mechanism. It would be beneficial for Taiwan region to continue expanding and diversifying its industrial chain on the island, as well as optimizing the allocation of industrial chain resources on both sides of the Taiwan Straits.更多还原