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可持续就业、普惠金融与共同富裕——基于门槛效应的模型分析

Sustainable employment, financial inclusion and shared prosperity: a model analysis based on threshold effects

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【作者】 徐晔; 鲁长河;

【Author】 XU Ye;LU Changhe;School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics;

【机构】 江西财经大学统计学院;

【摘要】 基于我国31个省市地区2011—2020年的面板数据,以普惠金融作为门槛变量,构建面板门槛模型,研究了可持续就业对共同富裕的影响。研究结果显示:可持续就业对共同富裕具有显著正向影响,且存在双重门槛效应。当普惠金融发展水平小于第一个门槛值时,可持续就业对共同富裕的影响最大;普惠金融发展水平介于第一个门槛值和第二个门槛值之间时,可持续就业对共同富裕的影响最小。即一定程度的普惠金融发展可以扩展共同富裕实现路径的多元化,减弱对可持续就业实现共同富裕这一路径的依赖。但无论普惠金融的发展水平如何,可持续就业对共同富裕均有显著的促进作用,是实现共同富裕的有效路径。

【Abstract】 Based on the panel data of 31 provinces and municipalities in China from 2011 to 2020,a panel threshold model was constructed using financial inclusion as a threshold variable to study the impact of sustainable employment on shared prosperity.The findings show that sustainable employment has a significant positive impact on shared prosperity and there is a double threshold effect.When the level of inclusive financial development is less than the first threshold, the impact of sustainable employment on shared prosperity is the largest; when the level of inclusive financial development is between the first and second thresholds, the impact of sustainable employment on shared prosperity is the smallest.In other words, a certain level of financial inclusion can expand the diversification of the path to shared prosperity and reduce the reliance on sustainable employment as a path to shared prosperity.However, regardless of the level of financial inclusion development, sustainable employment has a significant contribution to shared prosperity and is an effective pathway to shared prosperity.

【基金】 国家社会科学基金重大招标项目(19ZDA121);国家自然科学基金资助项目(71973055,71773041,72163008);教育部人文社科项目(21YJA790069);江西省哲学社会科学重点研究基地项目(21SKJD02)
  • 【文献出处】 南昌工程学院学报 ,Journal of Nanchang Institute of Technology , 编辑部邮箱 ,2023年01期
  • 【分类号】F249.2;F832;F126
  • 【下载频次】165
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