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“双碳”目标下山东省新旧动能转换时空特征及其影响因素

Spatio-temporal characteristics of the conversion from to new kinetic energy in Shandong Province under the “dual carbon” goal

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【作者】 于尚坤刘照胜

【Author】 YU Shangkun;LIU Zhaosheng;College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University;Key Research Institute of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development & Yellow River Civilization by Provincial and Ministerial Co-construction of Collaborative Innovation Center, Henan University;Research Center for Sustainable Development of Shandong Province, Shandong Normal University;Editorial Department of China Population, Resources and Environment, Shandong Normal University;

【通讯作者】 刘照胜;

【机构】 山东师范大学地理与环境学院河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心暨黄河文明省部共建协同创新中心山东师范大学山东省可持续发展研究中心山东师范大学中国人口·资源与环境编辑部

【摘要】 新旧动能转换是实现“双碳”目标的关键路径,科学测度评价新旧动能转换水平并厘清其影响因素尤为重要。文中利用熵值法、空间自相关模型、GWR模型等方法刻画山东省新旧动能转换的时空特征并探讨其影响因素。结果表明:山东省新旧动能转换综合指数稳步上升,16地市综合指数均呈现上升趋势,其演变态势可以分为波动演进、稳步提升、平稳推进三个阶段;山东省新旧动能转换水平存在明显的空间分异,整体呈现中部高于西部与南部、济南与青岛一直为高值中心的空间格局;不同因素在不同时期对新旧动能转换的影响存在显著差异,影响因素的空间分布呈现明显的东北-西南向分异特征。

【Abstract】 The conversion from old to new kinetic energy is the key path to achieve the goal of “double carbon”. It is particularly important to scientifically measure and evaluate driving forces in the conversion from old to new kinetic energy and clarify the influencing factors. Using entropy value method, spatial autocorrelation model, GWR model, the spatio-temporal characteristics of the conversion from to new kinetic energy the old to new kinetic energy conversion in Shandong Province are described, and its influencing factors are analyzed. The main findings are as follows: 1) The comprehensive index of conversion from old to new kinetic energy for whole province has risen steadily, and that of 16 cities in the province also presents the overall upward trend, which can be roughly divided into three stages: fluctuations rise, steadily rising, and rising. 2) There is obviously spatial differentiation in the old to new kinetic energy conversion in Shandong Province, and the overall spatial pattern shows that the level in central region is significantly higher than that in the west and south, and Jinan and Qingdao are always the high value centers. 3) From the perspective of influencing factors, there are significant differences in the influence of different factors on the old to new kinetic energy conversion in different periods.

【基金】 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD790015);国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(42201182);山东省重点研发计划(软科学项目)(2022RKY01014)资助
  • 【文献出处】 干旱区资源与环境 ,Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment , 编辑部邮箱 ,2023年12期
  • 【分类号】F124.5
  • 【下载频次】144
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