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基于改进FAHP的危化品道路运输风险综合评价

Comprehensive Risk Assessment for Road Transport of Hazardous Chemicals Based on Improved FAHP

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【作者】 唐箫; 伍爱友; 李润求; 周媛媛;

【Author】 TANG Xiao;WU Aiyou;LI Runqiu;ZHOU Yuanyuan;College of Resources, Environment and Safety Engineering, Hunan University of Science and Technology;Hunan Key Laboratory of Safe Coal Mining Technology, Hunan University of Science and Technology;

【通讯作者】 伍爱友;

【机构】 湖南科技大学资源环境与安全工程学院; 湖南科技大学煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室;

【摘要】 为预防危化品道路运输灾害事故的发生,运用改进模糊层次分析法(FAHP),以人员、车辆、道路、环境、管理、危化品等6个主辨识风险源为一级指标构建危化品道路运输风险评价指标体系,利用AHP法通过专家评分,建立模糊一致矩阵,计算各指标权重并排序,根据所得指标权重进行Fuzzy综合评价。采用该方法对H省某高速路段危化品运输进行风险分级综合评价,评价结果为较安全,与运输安管部门风险决策工作所得等级一致,且危化品处置、车辆管理、道路状况等方面风险隐患突出,为排查重点,由此验证该方法的适用性,为危化品道路运输风险分析和预防提供一种可行的研究思路。

【Abstract】 In order to prevent the occurrence of road transport accidents caused by dangerous chemicals, an improved fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is proposed. Firstly, six main identified risk sources, including personnel, vehicles, roads, environment, management, and dangerous chemicals, are used as the first level indicators to build the risk evaluation index system of dangerous chemicals road transport. Secondly, the AHP method is used to establish a fuzzy consistent matrix through expert scoring, to calculate and sort the weight of each index. Finally, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is carried out according to the weight of the index. The method was adopted to conduct a comprehensive risk grading evaluation for the transportation of hazardous chemical on a highway section of H Province. The evaluation result is relatively safe, which is consistent with the level obtained from the risk decision-making work of the transportation safety management department. The potential risks in the disposal of hazardous chemicals, vehicle management, road conditions and other aspects are prominent, which is the focus of investigation. Therefore, the applicability of this method is verified, and a feasible research idea is provided for the risk analysis and prevention of hazardous chemicals road transportation.

【基金】 2020年湖南省教育厅重点资助项目(20A188);2019年湖南省教育厅重点资助项目(19A167)
  • 【分类号】TQ086.52
  • 【下载频次】106
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