【摘要】 在新的人口变动趋势下，如何配置教育资源是厦门市面临的重要研究课题。以厦门市七普人口数据为基础，借助PADIS-INT预测厦门市2023—2030年的基础教育学龄人口变动趋势。进而测算厦门市基础教育在校生规模变动趋势，并且估算厦门市基础教育资源的需求情况。最后通过对比基础教育资源供需水平提出未来几年厦门市基础教育资源配置的政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 How to allocate the educational resources is an important research topic for Xiamen.This paper, based on the 7^th national census data of Xiamen, predicts the trend of preschool and K-12 school age population change in Xiamen from 2023 to 2030 with the help of PADIS-INT.Then, it will gauge the student size change based on the school age population trend and the demands of educational resources of Xiamen.Finally, policy suggestions will be proposed after comparing the supply-demand levels of educational resources.更多还原