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重大体育赛事场馆涉恐风险评估模型构建

Construction of Terrorism-Related Risk Assessment Model for Major Sports Event Venues

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【作者】 张萱怡吴绍忠

【Author】 ZHANG Xuanyi;WU Shaozhong;School of National Security, People’s Public Security University of China;

【通讯作者】 吴绍忠;

【机构】 中国人民公安大学国家安全学院

【摘要】 重大体育赛事场馆是重大体育比赛的载体,具有人员密集度高和影响力大等特点,一旦遭受恐怖袭击就会造成严重的人员伤亡和经济损失。依据风险评估理论,通过文献资料法、调查研究法,从威胁性、脆弱性、危害后果3个维度建立重大体育赛事场馆涉恐风险评估指标,依托层次分析法对指标权重赋值,构建风险评估模型,可以有效地预警、防范重大体育赛事场馆恐怖袭击事件,提高我国重大体育赛事场馆的涉恐风险管理水平。

【Abstract】 Major sports venues are the carriers of major sports competitions, which are characterized by high personnel density and influence. Once a terrorist attack occurs, it will cause serious casualties and economic losses. Based on the risk assessment theory, the terrorism-related risk assessment indexes of major sporting venues are established from three dimensions of threat, vulnerability and harm consequences through literature review and research method. Relying on the hierarchical analysis method to assign weights to the indexes, the risk assessment model is constructed to effectively warn and prevent terrorist attacks on major sporting event venues and improve the level of terrorism-related risk management of major sporting event venues in China.

【基金】 中国人民公安大学高水平非在编机构建设项目(2021FZB10)
  • 【文献出处】 中国人民公安大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of People’s Public Security University of China(Science and Technology) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2022年04期
  • 【分类号】D631.4;G818
  • 【下载频次】37
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