【摘要】 基于2017年中国流动人口动态监测数据和城市特征数据，分析房租负担对农村转移劳动力城市长期居留意愿的影响以及公共服务可及性的调节效应。研究发现：房租负担会显著降低农村转移劳动力的城市长期居留意愿，而公共服务可及性的提高能有效削弱房租负担对城市长期居留意愿的负向影响，且削弱的程度在不同地区、不同规模的城市之间有着显著差异。据此，积极培育和发展住房租赁市场，平抑住房租金，因地制宜提升农村转移劳动力的公共服务可及性，将是推动农村转移劳动力市民化，提高城市劳动力市场稳定性的重要课题。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on data of CMDS and city-level statistics in 2017, this paper analyzes the impact of rent affordability stress on long-term residence intention of rural-urban migrants and the moderating effect of public service accessibility. The results show that the rent affordability stress significantly reduces the long-term residence intention of settlement of rural-urban migrant, while the public service accessibility can effectively weaken the negative effect of the rent affordability stress on rural-urban migrants’ intentions of settlement. And weakening effect has significant differences in different regions and different-sized cities. Accordingly, actively cultivating and developing the housing rental market, suppressing the housing rent, and improving the public service accessibility of the rural migrant labor force will be an important topic to promote the urbanization of the rural migrant labor force and improve the stability of the urban labor market.更多还原