【摘要】 在当前健康中国和积极应对人口老龄化两大国家战略交汇的大背景下，基于年龄—时期—队列分析框架考察了21世纪以来我国65岁及以上老年人体育锻炼参与及其均等化程度的变动趋势。基于2002—2018年6期中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查（CLHLS）数据，利用分层交叉年龄时期队列模型（HAPC Model）发现我国老年人体育锻炼变动趋势存在显著的时期和队列效应：我国老年人体育锻炼参与水平随时期总体呈波动上升趋势；越近的出生队列，老年人参加体育锻炼的比例越高。老年人体育锻炼参与与年龄之间呈现非线性关系：老年人每天参加体育锻炼的可能性在75岁之前变动不大，但75岁之后随着年龄增长加速下降。进一步研究显示：老年人体育锻炼参与的性别、城乡和社会经济差异随着时期变动有所缩减，女性老年人和农村老年人与过去相比更积极参与体育锻炼，基于社保资格的分析也表明老年人体育锻炼的社会经济差异有所减少。整体看，21世纪以来老年人体育锻炼参与水平有所提高，参与均等化程度有所提升。结合老龄友好环境建设的视角讨论了研究结果对提升老年人积极健康老龄化水平的政策启示。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the context of the Healthy China Strategy and Actively Coping with Population Ageing Strategy,and based on six rounds of China Longitudinal Health and Longevity Survey(CLHLS)data from 2002 to 2018,this study uses the hierarchical APC model to investigate the temporal patterns of the changing exercise prevalence for China’s elderly aged 65 and above since the 21st century. The study finds that there is a nonlinear relationship between age and the elderly’s physical exercise participation:the possibility of the elderly participating in physical exercise daily changes little before the age of 75,but decreases rapidly with age after the age of 75. The level of physical exercise participation of the elderly in China fluctuates and generally increases over time. There is a significant cohort effect in the participation of the elderly in physical exercise. The more recent the birth cohort,the higher the proportion of the elderly participating in physical exercise. Further analysis shows that gender,urban-rural and socio-economic differences of physical exercise participation of the elderly have decreased over time. On the whole,the level of physical exercise participation of the elderly and the degree of equalization of participation have improved since the 21st century. From the perspective of active and healthy aging of the elderly,this paper discusses the policy implications of the research results.更多还原