【摘要】 以协同论和可持续发展理论为指导,从人与自然和谐共处的角度出发,建立了基于经济、社会与生态环境效益指数的定量分析模型,对1988—2017年新疆沙雅县人工绿洲的发展规模和结构进行协调度评价.结果表明,1988—1994年,沙雅县经济、社会与生态环境3个子系统间的协调度指数呈现不断上升的趋势,绿洲规模与结构的协调度从1988年的不协调逐步发展成为良好协调;1995—2007年,3个子系统间的协调度指数呈现逐渐降低的趋势,3个子系统的协调发展水平有所恶化,系统整体协调度不断下降,到2007年协调度转变为勉强协调;2008—2017年,因为社会效益子系统的发展速度持续回升,3个子系统的协调发展水平显著改善,系统整体协调度也回归了上升的趋势,绿洲发展规模与结构从勉强协调转变为协调和良好协调.更多还原

【Abstract】 Under the guidance of synergetic theory and sustainable development theory,from the perspective of harmonious coexistence between man and nature,A quantitative analysis model is established to evaluate the coordination degree of development scale and structure of artificial oasis based on economic,social and ecological environmental benefit index.The results show that from 1988 to 1994,the coordination index of economic,social and ecological environment of Shaya County showed a rising trend,and the coordination of oasis scale and structure gradually developed into good coordination from disharmony in 1988.From 1995 to 2007,the coordination degree index of the three subsystems showed a trend of gradually decreasing,and the coordination development level of the three subsystems deteriorated,leading to the continuous decline of the overall coordination degree of the system,and it shows barely coordination in 2007.From 2008 to 2017,the development speed of the social benefit subsystem continued to pick up,and the coordinated development level of the three subsystems was significantly improved,leading to the overall coordination degree of the system also resumed the upward trend,and the development scale and structure of oasis changed from barely coordinated to coordinated and well coordinated.The model is reasonable and practical,so it can provide some reference for the research on the coordinated development of similar artificial oases in arid areas.更多还原