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南水北调中线工程水源区农村产业融合发展能力评价及驱动因素分析

Capability evaluation and driving factors for rural industrial convergence and development in water-source areas of Middle Route Project of South-to-North Water Diversion

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【作者】 陶晓燕吴战勇李晓方常玉苗朱九龙

【Author】 TAO Xiao yan;WU Zhan yong;LI Xiao fang;CHANG Yumiao;ZHU Jiulong;Business School,Nanyang Institute of Technology;Business School,City University of Macau;Business School, Yancheng Teachers University;International Joint Laboratory of Watershed Ecological Security of Water Security for Water Source Region of Middle Route Project of South-North Water Diversion in Henan Province, Nanyang Normal University;

【机构】 南阳理工学院商学院澳门城市大学商学院盐城师范学院商学院河南省南水北调中线水源区流域生态安全国际联合实验室

【摘要】 为推进南水北调中线工程水源区农村产业融合转型与升级,从产业融合动力、过程、效应3个维度筛选了29项指标,构建水源区农村产业融合发展能力评价指标体系,利用灰色关联分析方法确定融合动力、过程和效应3个子系统与水源区农村产业融合发展能力的关联度,并对水源区的农村产业融合发展水平进行测算。研究发现:融合过程、融合动力和融合效应分别是第一、二、三驱动因素;2009—2018年水源区农村产业融合发展能力指数的时空差异明显,但是平均指数依然偏低,产业融合整体水平亟待提升。

【Abstract】 In order to promote the transformation and upgrading of the rural industrial convergence in water-source areas of Middle Route Project of South-to-North Water Diversion, an evaluation index system for their convergence capability and development is established by selecting 29 indexes from the three dimensions of convergence power,process and effect. Then the grey correlation analysis method is used to determine the correlation degrees between the three subsystems of convergence power,process and effect and the convergence capability and development of rural industry in water-source areas. Finally,the entropy method is employed to calculate the convergence levels of rural industry in 11 cities of water-source areas. The results show that the convergence process,power and effect of rural industry are the first,second and third driving factors,respectively. The regional differences of convergence capability of rural industry in water-source areas are obvious during the period from 2009 to 2018,but the average index is still low and the total capability of industrial convergence needs to be improved.

【基金】 国家社会科学基金(20BGL192,19BJY081);教育部人文社会科学基金(17YJA630146,18YJC630161);河南省教育厅人文社会科学基金(2018-ZZJH-635,2018-ZZJH-646);河南省教育厅高等学校重点科学研究项目(20A630027,20A790020)
  • 【文献出处】 水利经济 ,Journal of Economics of Water Resources , 编辑部邮箱 ,2021年05期
  • 【分类号】F327;F426.91
  • 【被引频次】2
  • 【下载频次】251
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