【摘要】 随着电子商务和跨境电商的发展,邮政业的发展对国民经济的支撑作用越来越显著,农村电商的发展更是提高了邮政业在城乡经济协调发展的关键地位。因此文章以上海市邮政业与经济发展协调性为研究对象,通过VAR模型的格兰杰因果检验法,对上海市2002～2018年邮政业务总量和生产总额进行分析,分析表明上海市邮政业与经济发展存在互动的格兰杰因果关系。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the development of e-commerce and cross-border e-commerce, the development of the postal industry has played an increasingly significant role in supporting the national economy, and the development of rural e-commerce has increased the key position of the postal industry in the coordinated development of urban and rural economies. Therefore, this paper takes the coordination of Shanghai’s postal industry and economic development as the object of study, and analyzes the total postal business and total production from 2002～2018 in Shanghai through the Granger causality test of the VAR model, and the analysis shows that there is an interactive Granger causality between Shanghai’s postal industry and economic development.更多还原