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碳中和目标下的若干地球系统科学和技术问题分析

Key Scientific and Technical Issues in Earth System Science Towards Achieving Carbon Neutrality in China

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【作者】 蔡兆男成里京李婷婷郑循华王林韩圣慧王凯屈侠江飞张永雨朱建华龙上敏孙扬贾炳浩袁文平张天一张晴谢瑾博朱家文刘志强吴琳杨东旭魏科吴林张稳刘毅曹军骥

【Author】 CAI Zhaonan;CHENG Lijing;LI Tingting;ZHENG Xunhua;WANG Lin;HAN Shenghui;WANG Kai;QU Xia;JIANG Fei;ZHANG Yongyu;ZHU Jianhua;LONG Shangmin;SUN Yang;JIA Binghao;YUAN Wenping;ZHANG Tianyi;ZHANG Qing;XIE Jinbo;ZHU Jiawen;LIU Zhiqiang;WU Lin;YANG Dongxu;WEI Ke;WU Lin;ZHANG Wen;LIU Yi;CAO Junji;Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences;College of Earth and Planetary Sciences,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory;International Institute for Earth System Science,Nanjing University;Qingdao Institute of Bioenergy and Bioprocess Technology,Chinese Academy of Sciences;Research Institute of Forest Ecology,Environment and Protection,Chinese Academy of Forestry;College of Oceanography,Hohai University;School of Atmospheric Sciences,Sun Yat-Sen University;

【通讯作者】 蔡兆男;成里京;

【机构】 中国科学院大气物理研究所中国科学院大学地球与行星科学学院南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室南京大学国际地球系统科学研究所中国科学院青岛生物能源与过程研究所中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与保护研究所河海大学海洋学院中山大学大气科学学院

【摘要】 碳中和作为21世纪最大规模的有序人类活动,亟待科学应对。文章从地球系统科学角度,讨论了支撑"碳达峰、碳中和"目标的大气、陆地和海洋相关的地球系统科学中的若干科学和技术问题及现存的知识不足。从地球系统模式、气候监测指标、温室气体监测技术、碳源/汇核算方法体系等方面,阐述了支撑碳中和的关键技术手段及现存的问题。基于目前存在的挑战和不足,建议深入理解气候系统多圈层相互作用过程和机制,完善地球系统理论与模式,从多圈层角度加强"碳达峰、碳中和"目标和气候变化理论基础;自主构建气候变化监测指标系统,研发温室气体监测与核查手段和平台,为碳中和目标提供先进的技术手段支撑。

【Abstract】 The carbon neutrality strategy will be the largest orderly human activity in this century, which requires strong scientific supports. This study introduces some key scientific questions and remaining knowledge gaps in earth system science(i.e. atmosphere, land, ocean science), and also discusses some key techniques and the associated challenges, including Earth System Model, climate metrics, greenhouse gasses monitoring techniques, carbon inventories from regional to global scales. On this basis, this study recommends to construct climate monitoring system and platform in China, better describe and understand the earth system coupling processes and mechanisms. To consolidate the techniques for carbon neutrality, this study also suggests to build carbon monitoring and inventory assessment platform and to improve the Earth System Model.

【基金】 中国科学院青年创新促进会会员项目(2018097、2020077)
  • 【文献出处】 中国科学院院刊 ,Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences , 编辑部邮箱 ,2021年05期
  • 【分类号】P3
  • 【被引频次】27
  • 【下载频次】3706
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