【摘要】 基于江西省1989～2018年期间的省级动态数据,从内生性视角构建了农业技术进步、农村劳动力转移和农民收入三者之间的VAR模型(向量自回归模型),通过Granger(格兰杰)因果检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析了三者之间的动态关系。研究表明:农村劳动力转移与农业技术进步对农民收入有长期的正向影响,农民收入与农业技术进步之间相互影响,农民收入和农业技术进步对农村劳动力转移有显著正向作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the provincial dynamic data of Jiangxi Province from 1989 to 2018, a VAR model among agricultural technology progress, rural labor transfer and farmers’ income was constructed from the perspective of endogeneity. Granger causality test, impulse response function and variance decomposition were used to analyze the dynamic relationship among the three. The results show that the transfer of rural labor force and the progress of agricultural technology have a long-term positive impact on farmers’ income. The income of farmers and the progress of agricultural technology affect each other. Farmers’ income and agricultural technology progress have a significant positive effect on the transfer of rural labor.更多还原