【摘要】 资源型区域的产业单一锁定是中国区域协调发展面临的难点之一。由产业基础、产业要素、产业服务、产业设施组成的产业生态是影响产业演进的主要因素,以产业生态为关键环节研究资源依赖与区域产业演进问题。研究发现,资源依赖与产业多样化水平、三次产业结构升级指数总体负相关,2017年省级层面资源依赖与三次产业结构升级指数呈"U"型。对于产业多样化,产业关联促进作用明显,研发在全国整体、低资源依赖省份具有促进作用,人口密度具有抑制影响,市场化普遍不显著,城镇化水平在中等资源依赖省份产生促进作用。对于三次产业结构升级而言,产业基础不利于产业升级,研发对低资源依赖省份促进作用明显,人口密度对高资源依赖省份有正向影响,市场化普遍有促进作用,城镇化对全国和中等资源依赖省份有促进作用。路网密度对产业多样化不显著,对产业结构升级促进作用明显。通过机制检验发现,资源依赖对产业生态的全方位挤出是造成资源型区域产业锁定的原因。最后从建设产业生态系统、发展关联产业、完善要素进出口机制、加快市场化改革、完善产业基础设施等方面提出建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The single locking of industries in resource-based regions is one of the difficult points facing the coordinated development of China’s regions. This paper argues that the industrial ecology consisting of industrial base, industrial elements, industrial services and industrial facilities is the main factor influencing industrial evolution, and takes the industrial ecology as the key link to study the problem of resource dependence and regional industrial evolution. The study finds that resource dependence is negatively correlated with the level of industrial diversification and the index of upgrading of the three industrial structures, and the index of resource dependence and upgrading of the three industrial structures at the provincial level in 2017 is"U"shaped; for industrial diversification, industrial linkage has a significant role in promoting R&D in the whole country and in provinces with low resource dependence. Population density has a dampening effect, marketisation is generally insignificant, and urbanization levels have a facilitating effect in medium resource-dependent provinces. For the upgrading of the three industrial structures, the industrial base is not conducive to industrial upgrading, R&D has a significant promoting effect in low resource-dependent provinces, population density has a positive effect in high-resource-dependent provinces, marketisation generally has a promoting effect, and urbanization has a promoting effect in national and medium resource-dependent provinces. Road network density is insignificant for industrial diversification and significant for industrial structural upgrading. The mechanism test found that the all-round crowding out of the industrial ecology by resource dependency is the cause of industrial lock-in in resource-based regions. Finally, suggestions are made in terms of building industrial ecosystems, developing associated industries, improving factor entry and exit mechanisms, accelerating market-oriented reforms and improving industrial infrastructure.更多还原