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“双循环”新发展格局下河北省面临的经济形势、挑战及其应对措施

Macro-trends and Challenges Facing Hebei Province and Policy Measures Under the New Development Pattern of the “Dual Circulation”

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【作者】 王亭亭;

【Author】 WANG Ting-ting;

【机构】 河北省社会科学院宏观经济与公共政策研究中心;

【摘要】 2020年新冠疫情的世界性蔓延成为重塑全球政治、经济、社会不容忽视的历史性变量,也是全球各国必须应对的持久战。目前,从整体上看,世界经济正处在大萧条以来最为严重的衰退期、失速期。这次疫情给全球带来的经济创伤,从根本上强化了大国之间的经济博弈、政治摩擦与军事对抗。然而,在开放经济条件下,无论是产业链分工、资源消费品供给,还是各种物流配套服务,都需要全球大环境的相互支持、紧密配合与协同共进。所以,要推动河北省经济高质量与可持续发展,快速融入国内外"双循环"发展格局,就需要认真分析与准确把握全球宏观经济形势的动态走势与总体特征。

【Abstract】 The worldwide spread of COVID-19 Epidemic in 2020 has become a non-ignorable historical variable to reshape the global politics, economy and society, and also is a new normal and protracted war that nations across the globe must address. At present, the world economy is just in the most severe recession period and steepdownturn period since the Great Depression as a whole. The economic harm to the globe brought by the Epidemic has fundamentally intensified economic game, political friction and military confrontation between big nations. However, industry chain layout, supply of resources & consumer goods, and various supportive logistics services all necessitate mutual support, close cooperation and collaborative efforts in the big global environment in the background of open economy. Therefore, there is a need to well analyze and accurately grasp the trend and overall features of the global macro-economy situation with a view to promoting the high-quality and sustainable development of Hebei Province, and rapidly incorporating into the new development pattern of the domestic and international “dual circulation”.

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