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重大突发事件下区域综合交通系统应急保障和管理

Emergency Support and Management of Regional Integrated Traffic System under Significant Events

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【作者】 吴建军高自友

【Author】 WU Jianjun;GAO Ziyou;State Key Laboratory of Rail Traffic Control and Safety, Beijing Jiaotong University;School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University;

【机构】 北京交通大学轨道交通控制与安全国家重点实验室北京交通大学交通运输学院

【摘要】 重大突发事件的发生严重威胁人们的生命和财产安全,合理利用综合交通系统高效疏散需求和运输救援物资是应急响应的关键。为提升重大突发事件下区域综合交通系统应急保障和管理能力,针对突发事件对区域交通系统可能带来的影响,从重大突发事件下区域综合交通出行智能预测与行为决策、交通网络流量传播与关键因素识别、交通运行状态仿真计算与推演、交通系统韧性评估与智能管控、交通应急资源配置与协同保障5个方面对其研究内容进行系统阐述,并提出相对应的典型科学问题,旨在为提升交通系统应对重大突发事件韧性、减少重大突发事件造成的损失提供系统理论方法和科学决策依据。

【Abstract】 The occurrence of significant events seriously threatens the safety of people′s lives and property. The key of emergency response is to make rational use of the integrated traffic system to evacuate demand and transport relief materials efficiently. In order to improve the emergency support and management ability of the regional integrated traffic system, considering the effect of significant events on the regional integrated traffic system, the research content mainly elaborates five aspects:regional integrated traffic travel intelligent prediction and behavioral decision, network traffic propagation and key factor identification, operation state simulation calculation and deduction, system resilience assessment and intelligent control, and emergency resource allocation and collaborative support. Besides, the corresponding typical scientific problems of each aspect are proposed. It is to provide systematic theoretical methods and scientific decision-making basis for improving the resilience of traffic systems and reducing the losses caused by significant events.

【基金】 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2021PT206);国家自然科学基金(71621001,71890972,71890970)~~
  • 【文献出处】 管理科学 ,Journal of Management Science , 编辑部邮箱 ,2021年06期
  • 【分类号】D63;U113
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】542
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