【摘要】 利用2011—2019年梵净山区逐日气温、降水、风速和相对湿度等资料,对影响旅游活动的主要气候要素进行分析,并结合旅游实际构建梵净山旅游气候舒适度指数和旅游气象指数预报模型。结果表明:（1）梵净山气温适宜,降雨丰沛、雨热同期,空气湿度大,平均风力为微风,近9 a平均气温、降水量、风速和相对湿度分别为8.4℃、2073.7 mm、3.8 m·s^-1和91%。（2）近9 a梵净山年平均较舒适及以上天数206.9 d,其中6—8月为旅游舒适期,4—5月和9—10月为较舒适期,3月和11月为较不舒适期,12月至次年2月为不舒适期。（3）梵净山旅游气象指数预报模型包括舒适度、降雨、云量和灾害性天气4个因子,综合考虑了旅游的安全性、舒适性和观赏性,计算方便合理,可适用于梵净山山岳型旅游气象预报与服务工作。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on daily temperature, precipitation, wind speed and relative humidity data in Fanjing Mountain from 2011 to 2019, the main climatic factors affecting tourism activities were analyzed. The forecast models of tourism climate comfort index and tourism meteorological index were established according to the reality of tourism. The results are as follows:（1） Fanjing Mountain had the climate characteristics of “suitable temperature, abundant precipitation, rain and heat in the same period, high air humidity, average wind of breeze”. The average temperature, precipitation, wind speed and relative humidity in recent 9 years were 8.4 ℃, 2073.7 mm, 3.8 m·s^-1 and 91%, respectively.（2） In recent 9 years, the average days with comfortable and above feeling were 206.9 d in Fanjing Mountain, in which the more comfortable period was from June to August, the comfortable period was from April to May and September to October, the less comfortable period was in March and November, the uncomfortable period was from December to February of the following year.（3） The forecast model of tourism meteorological index in Fanjing Mountain included four factors such as comfort, precipitation, cloud cover and severe weather, which took the comprehensive consideration of tourism safety, comfort and appreciation, and it was easy to calculate and reasonable. It was more suitable for the weather forecast and service of mountain tourism.更多还原