【摘要】 为了从全球价值链角度为低碳减排目标的实现提供经验依据,本文利用2000—2014年中国56个部门的数据,考察全球价值链嵌入对中国出口贸易隐含碳的影响,并检验了前向嵌入和后向嵌入两种嵌入模式对出口贸易隐含碳的异质性影响及其影响路径。结果显示:全球价值链位置指数的提高有助于减少出口贸易隐含碳,稳健性检验结果强化了这一结论;以前向生产长度增加为表征的前向嵌入模式对出口贸易隐含碳具有促降作用,而以前向参与度增加为表征的前向嵌入模式以及后向嵌入模式不利于减少出口贸易隐含碳;只有当以增加前向生产长度的模式嵌入时,规模效应、结构效应和技术进步效应才是全球价值链嵌入影响出口贸易隐含碳的主要途径。因此,中国政府部门应从改善出口贸易结构与调整出口贸易规模着手,寻找出口贸易隐含碳问题的解决思路,助力于中国2030年二氧化碳减排目标的实现。更多还原

【Abstract】 Using the data of 56 departments in China during 2000-2014,this paper studied the impact of participating in GVCs on carbon emissions embodied in China’ s exports,and identified the impact of forward and backward participation on carbon emissions and its influence path. The results show that the increase of GVCs position index has reduced the carbon emissions embodied in China’ s exports. The forward participation characterized by the increase of forward production length has a significant negative effect on carbon emissions,and other participation models have a significant positive effect on carbon emissions. Only when the forward production length is increased,the scale effect,structure effect and technology progress effect are the main influence paths. In order to achieve 2030 carbon emission target,China should improve the export trade structure,adjust the scale of export trade,and find solutions to reduce the carbon emissions embodied in China’ s exports.更多还原