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市域(郊)铁路客流预测及需求分析方法应用研究——以北京市为例

Passenger Volume Forecast Method Study of Suburban Railway——Taking Beijing as an Example

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【作者】 张哲宁王书灵魏家蓉初众甫

【Author】 ZHANG Zhening;WANG Shuling;WEI Jiarong;CHU Zhongfu;Beijing Transport Institute;Beijing Municipality Key Laboratory of Urban Traffic Operation Simulation and Decision Support;China Railway Consulting Group, Beijing Architecture Planning Design Co.Ltd.;

【机构】 北京交通发展研究院城市交通运行仿真与决策支持北京市重点实验室中铁咨询集团北京建筑规划设计有限公司

【摘要】 市域(郊)铁路是近年来发展起来的新模式,针对我国客流分析及预测工作仍处于起步阶段,尚未形成客流分析及预测的技术标准.结合北京市域(郊)铁路线路客流预测分析工作经验,明确了市域(郊)铁路客流分析及预测的内容方法与技术路线、对比分析市域(郊)铁路和城市轨道交通特点,对预测模型参数提出更新要求,以供相关工作参考.

【Abstract】 Urban(suburban) railway is a new model developed in recent years. The analysis and prediction of passenger flow in my country is still in its infancy, and technical standards for passenger flow analysis and prediction have not yet been formed. Combined with work experience in Beijing, this paper discussed research methods, the main content and technology roadmap of the passenger volume forecast for suburban railway transit. The results can be applied to determine the size of facility in the preliminary design phase.

  • 【文献出处】 交通工程 ,Journal of Transportation Engineering , 编辑部邮箱 ,2021年02期
  • 【分类号】U293.13
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】553
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