【摘要】 随着RCEP的正式签署,中日韩自贸区建设也被提上议事日程。中日韩自贸区的建立不仅能为三国经贸合作带来巨大福利,也会对东北亚政治局势的稳定有所贡献。由于贸易摩擦、领土纠纷等影响因素的存在,中日韩自贸区的建设不可能一蹴而就。为了顺利推进中日韩FTA的建设进程,通过对影响中日韩FTA建设的障碍因素进行回归分析,实证检验后可以得出以下结论:产业结构和敏感产业对中日韩贸易总额的影响在金融危机前后截然不同,农业发展机制的完善有益于中日韩自贸区的设立。领土主权争端在金融危机之后对于三国贸易额的影响显著减少,而民族主义冲突始终在阻碍三国贸易的发展。金融危机之前中美贸易摩擦促进了中日韩三国贸易额的增长,金融危机之后,随着中美贸易摩擦的加剧,中日韩三国贸易总额持续下降。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the formal signing of RCEP, the construction of China-Japan-ROK Free Trade Zone has also been put on the agenda. The establishment of the China-Japan-ROK Free Trade Zone will not only bring great benefits to economic and trade cooperation of three countries, but also contribute to the stability of political situation in Northeast Asia. Due to trade friction,territorial disputes and other influencing factors, the construction of China-Japan-ROK Free Trade Zone can not be achieved overnight. In order to smoothly promote the construction of China-Japan-ROK Free Trade Zone, regression analysis is made on the obstacle factors. The results show that the impact of industrial structure and sensitive industries on the total trade volume of China, Japan and South Korea is quite different before and after the financial crisis.The improvement of agricultural development mechanisms is beneficial to the establishment of China-Japan-ROK Free Trade Zone. After the financial crisis, the influence of territorial sovereignty disputes on the trade volume of the three countries decreased significantly, and the nationalistic conflict has always hindered the development of trade between the three countries.Before the financial crisis, the trade friction between China and the United States greatly promoted the growth of trade volume among China, Japan and South Korea. After the financial crisis, with the intensification of Sino-US trade friction, the total trade volume of China, Japan and South Korea continued to decline.更多还原