【摘要】 通过对2008-2017年中国30个省(区、市)的面板数据构建分位数回归模型,分析环境规制对我国出口贸易产生的影响,进一步验证"波特假说"在中国近几年是否成立。结果表明:环境规制对出口贸易短期内具有负面影响,但由于创新效率的存在,当环境规制提高到一定程度时会由抑制效应转变为促进效应,即适当的环境规制会降低我国的产品生产成本,进一步提高我国企业出口竞争力,促进出口贸易。实证结果验证了中国是存在"波特假说"的结论。在此基础上,提出要积极推动贸易实现国内国际双循环,避免成为"污染避难所",支持环保产业技术创新发展等对策建议,旨在推动我国绿色发展与出口贸易的共赢。更多还原

【Abstract】 By constructing aquantile regression model based on panel data from 30 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government)in China from 2008 to 2017,how does environmental regulation affect China’s export trade has been analyzed and whether " The Porter hypothesis" is valid in China in recent years has been further verified.The results shows that,in the short term,environmental regulation has a restraining effect on export trade,while in the long run,due to the existence of innovation efficiency,the effect of environmental regulation will transfer from restraining to promoting export trade when environmental regulation is raised to a certain extent,that is,appropriate environmental regulation will reduce the cost of Chinese products,further improve the export competitiveness of Chinese enterprises,thus accumulating export trade.The empirical results verified that the " Porter hypothesis" exists in China.On this basis,such countermeasures have been advocated as promoting export trade to realize dual circulation at home and abroad,avoiding becoming a "pollution shelter",and supporting technological innovation in environmental protection industries,to win-win between China’s green development and China’s export trade.更多还原