【摘要】 中国和日本一直是农产品贸易往来非常密切的国家.近年来,日本对外贸易实行严格的技术性壁垒,严重影响了中国对日本的农产品出口.本文在向量自回归模型的基础上,结合中日农产品贸易现状,通过格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应分析和预测方差分解等,对技术性贸易壁垒与我国农产品对日本出口之间的关系进行实证研究,根据实证分析结果,提出促进我国农产品出口可持续发展的可行性措施.更多还原

【Abstract】 China and Japan have always been countries with very close trade in agricultural products. In recent years,Japan has introduced strict technical barriers to trade,which has seriously affected China ’ s exports of agricultural products to Japan. Based on the current situation of agricultural trade between China and Japan,on the vector auto-regressive model,this paper empirically studies the relationship between technical trade barriers and the export of Chinese agricultural products to Japan through Granger causality test,impulse response analysis and predictive variance decomposition. According to the empirical analysis,it proposes feasible measures to promote the sustainable development of China’ s agricultural exports.更多还原