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基于引力模型的中国与34个“一带一路”沿线国家的本地市场效应研究

Research on Local Market Effect of China and 34 Countries along "Belt And Road" Based on Gravity Model

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【作者】 黄志华何毅

【Author】 HUANG Zhi-hua;HE Yi;College of Economics and Foreign Languages,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics;College of ecomics,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics;

【机构】 西南财经大学经贸外语学院西南财经大学经济学院

【摘要】 经济全球化时代,我国提出"一带一路"倡议备受广泛关注。此倡议可以有效促进"一带一路"沿线国家和中国的经济贸易发展,以及为本地市场效应的探究提供了新思路。本文根据本地市场效应研究模型——引力模型,完成"一带一路"沿线34个国家对中国的本地市场效应的研究。实证结果表明:中国整体贸易未呈现本地市场效应。然而,在SITC商品细分中,第5类、第7类以及第9类商品呈现本地市场效应。同时,在地区划分中,东南亚地区与中亚地区呈现本地市场效应,中东欧、东北亚以及南亚地区则呈现逆向的本地市场效应。

【Abstract】 In the era of economic globalization, China’s "Belt and Road" initiative has received widespread attention. This initiative can effectively promote the economic and trade development of the countries along the "Belt and Road" and China, as well as provide new ideas for exploring the effects of local markets. This paper adopts the "gravity model" of the local market effect research model to complete the research on China’s local market effects in 34 countries along the "Belt and Road". Empirical results show that China’s overall trade has not exhibited a local market effect. However, for the 9 th, 7 th, and 5 th category of SITC classified goods, the detection has local market effects. At the same time, in the regional division, Southeast Asia and Central Asia showed local market effects, while Central and Eastern Europe, Northeast Asia and South Asia showed reverse local market effects.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金面上项目“中国上市公司终极实际控制权现实状况、作用机制及其行为后果研究”(71572149);西南财经大学中央高校科研业务费专项资金项目“新常态和加大对外开放下宏观经济运行和宏观调控研究创新团队”(JBK1805006)
  • 【文献出处】 中国软科学 ,China Soft Science , 编辑部邮箱 ,2020年03期
  • 【分类号】F125;F752.7
  • 【被引频次】9
  • 【下载频次】1037
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