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中国暴雨的科学与预报:改革开放40年研究成果

Science and prediction of heavy rainfall over China: Research progress since the reform and opening-up of the People’s Republic of China

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【作者】 罗亚丽; 孙继松; 李英; 夏茹娣; 杜宇; 杨帅; 张元春; 陈静; 代刊; 沈学顺; 陈昊明; 周菲凡; 刘屹岷; 傅慎明; 吴梦雯; 肖天贵; 陈杨瑞雪; 黎慧琦; 李明鑫;

【Author】 LUO Yali;SUN Jisong;LI Ying;XIA Rudi;DU Yu;YANG Shuai;ZHANG Yuanchun;CHEN Jing;DAI Kan;SHEN Xueshun;CHEN Haoming;ZHOU Feifan;LIU Yimin;FU Shenming;WU Mengwen;XIAO Tiangui;CHEN Yangruixue;LI Huiqi;LI Mingxin;State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather,Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences;Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology;School of Atmospheric Sciences,and Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies,Sun Yatsen University;Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai);Key Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation Physics and Severe Storms,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences;National Meteorological Center;State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences;Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences,Zhejiang Meteorological Bureau;School of Atmospheric Sciences,Chengdu University of Information Technology;Institute of Heavy Rain,China Meteorological Administration;Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration;

【机构】 中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室; 南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心; 中山大学大气科学学院/气候变化与自然灾害研究广东省重点实验室; 南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海); 中国科学院大气物理研究所云降水物理与强风暴重点实验室; 国家气象中心; 中国科学院大学; 中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室; 中国科学院青藏高原地球科学卓越创新中心; 浙江省气象科学研究所; 成都信息工程大学大气科学学院; 中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所; 中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所;

【摘要】 总结了改革开放以来中国学者在暴雨科学与预报领域取得的重要研究进展和主要成果。其中,暴雨机理研究成果从重要天气系统、中国主要区域的暴雨、台风暴雨等3个方面分别进行综述,而暴雨预报技术研发与应用则从中国数值天气预报发展和暴雨预报客观方法两方面进行归纳。

【Abstract】 This review describes research progresses and main achievements in the science and prediction of heavy rainfall over China since the beginning of the reform and opening-up of China between 1980 and 2019. The research progresses on the physical mechanisms of heavy rainfall over China are summarized from three aspects-namely, the relevant synoptic systems, heavy rainfall in the major sub-regions and heavy rainfall induced by typhoons. The development and application of forecasting techniques for heavy rainfall events are summarized from the perspectives of numerical weather prediction techniques and objective forecasting methods.

【基金】 国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC1507400);国家自然科学基金(41775050)
  • 【文献出处】 气象学报 ,Acta Meteorologica Sinica , 编辑部邮箱 ,2020年03期
  • 【分类号】P426.62;P456
  • 【被引频次】41
  • 【下载频次】1278
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