【摘要】 基于发展中国家对外投资理论,在对投资效率、投资潜力和投资区位选择的文献进行梳理的基础上,分别构建随机前沿投资引力模型和投资潜力主成分综合评价体系,对"一带一路"沿线55个国家的投资效率和投资潜力进行了测算与评价,通过两者的组合将"一带一路"沿线国家划分为"效率高潜力高、效率高潜力低、潜力高效率低、潜力低效率低"四种类型,在组合分析的基础上得出应优先投资"效率高潜力高"国家、"效率低潜力高"国家的结论。需要从准确定位投资区位与投资类型、系统加强投资风险控制两方面对优化我国对外直接投资分布结构、引导我国资本更好地"走出去"提出政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the theory of foreign investment in developing countries and the literature review of investment efficiency, investment potential and investment location choice, this paper constructs a stochastic frontier investment gravity model and a comprehensive evaluation system of principal components of the investment potential respectively to measure and evaluate the investment efficiency and investment potential of 55 countries along the Belt and Road route. Through the combination of the efficiency and the potential, these countries are divided into four types, such as"high efficiency and high potential","high efficiency and low potential", " low efficiency and high potential"and" low efficiency and low potential". On the basis of the combined analysis, this paper draws a conclusion that investment priority should be given to the HEHP countries and LEHP countries. It is necessary to optimize the distribution structure of China’s OFDI and guide China’s capital to have a better" going out" from the two aspects of accurately choosing investment locations and investment types and systematically strengthening the investment risk control.更多还原