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科技金融与经济高质量发展的耦合互动关系——基于耦合度与PVAR模型的实证分析

The Coupling Interaction between Technology Finance and High-quality Economic Development:Empirical Analysis Based on Coupling Degree and PVAR Model

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【作者】 周德田冯超彩

【Author】 Zhou Detian;Feng Chaocai;School of Economics and Management,China University of Petroleum;

【通讯作者】 冯超彩;

【机构】 中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院

【摘要】 基于科技金融与经济高质量发展系统耦合机制,利用2008—2017年中国30个省份的相关数据对科技金融和经济高质量发展水平进行综合评价,结合耦合度和PVAR模型实证分析两系统间的耦合与互动发展。研究发现:(1)2008—2017年科技金融和经济高质量发展均有明显改善;(2)各省市的系统耦合度在0.32~0.79之间,呈平稳上升的态势。空间上,耦合度的莫兰指数呈"M"型的正向集聚,大部分地区呈现"高-高"或"低-低"聚集的空间特征;(3)在互动关系上,经济高质量发展对科技金融的促进作用较为显著,而科技金融对经济高质量发展的推动作用仍有待提高。

【Abstract】 Based on the coupling mechanism of technology finance and high-quality economic development,this paper comprehensively evaluates the level of science and technology finance and high-quality economic development by using the relevant data of 30 provinces in China from 2008 to 2017,and empirically analyzes the coupling and interactive development by combining the coupling coordination model and PVAR model.The findings are as follows.The level of both technology finance and the high-quality economic development has improved significantly in 2008-2017.The system coupling degree is between 0.32 and 0.79,showing a steady upward trend.In space,the Moran’ s index shows M-type positive clustering,and most areas show the spatial characteristics of high-high or low-low clustering.In terms of interaction,high-quality economic development plays a significant role in promoting technology finance,while the role of technology finance in promoting high-quality economic development still needs to be improved.

【基金】 山东省社会科学规划基金“加快青岛市国家中心城市建设对策研究”(17CJJJ41)
  • 【文献出处】 技术经济 ,Journal of Technology Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2020年05期
  • 【分类号】F127;F832
  • 【被引频次】36
  • 【下载频次】2320
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