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基于货物贸易的全球供应链发展研究

Research on Global Supply Chain Development Based on Cargo Trade

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【作者】 胡江云

【Author】 HU Jiang-yun;Development Research Center of the State Council;

【机构】 国务院发展研究中心

【摘要】 全球化背景下,新技术革命带来巨大变化,全球供应链发生了新的变化。文章运用货物贸易流向、货物贸易壁垒、货物贸易增加值等方法研究全球供应链的发展。研究结果显示,全球货物贸易发展不仅连接供应链,而且促进了供应链形态演变。研究主要结论是:各类经济体间的货物贸易连接全球供应链,全世界货物流向发达经济体比发展中经济体多得多,流向亚洲、欧洲也较多。中国在全球供应链中的地位明显提升,部分劳动密集型产品、中等技术产品的国际地位凸显;中国不仅成为全球供应链中心之一,而且出口产品的国内增加值逐年提高。除地震、海啸等自然灾害,以及经济体间冲突、经济体政局动荡外,关税、非关税壁垒措施和汇率波动都增加了全球供应链的交易成本,降低了其效率。

【Abstract】 Under the globalization,new technology revolution has brought about great changes,induding changes in global supply chains. This paper analyzes the development of global supply chains through the methods of flows,barriers and value-added of goods trade. The result reveals that not only does global merchandise trade link global supply chains,but also promotes their transformations. The main conclusions are as follows. First,goods trade between different economies connects global supply chains,and all goods export towards developed economies are much more than to developing economies,more towards Asia and Europe. Second,the position of China in global supply chains has been promoted remarkably,especially labor intensive goods and middle technological goods. China has become one of global supply chain centers,with its domestic value added exports increasing year by year. Third,besides earthquakes,tsunamis and other natural disasters as well as conflicts between economies,political turmoil,tariff barriers,non-tariff barriers and foreign exchange ratio fluctuations enhance the cost of global supply chains and decrease their efficiency.

  • 【文献出处】 供应链管理 ,Supply Chain Management , 编辑部邮箱 ,2020年11期
  • 【分类号】F274
  • 【被引频次】3
  • 【下载频次】257
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