【摘要】 基于全球极端气候频发的现状,以高度集聚为主要特征的城市将面临更大风险,加强气候变化适应力建设刻不容缓。通过构建气候变化适应力综合评估框架,建立了气候变化适应力综合指数(ACI)和适应力变化指数(ACCI),并对浙江省11个地级市的气候变化适应力进行实证研究,采用障碍度模型揭示了限制适应力发展水平提升的障碍因子。结果表明:研究期内,浙江省城市气候变化适应力指数持续上升,但城市间的适应力发展差距逐渐拉大,绍兴、宁波、舟山和金华气候适应力水平的提高幅度超过全省平均发展水平,而衢州、丽水和温州的气候适应力水平则低于全省水平。人力资本和自然资本是限制浙江省城市气候变化适应力发展的主要障碍因子。更多还原

【Abstract】 Faced with the appreciable raise of temperature and the increase of frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events,cities with high population concentration will confront greater climatic risks. Therefore, it is urgent to strengthen adaptive capacity to climate change. In this study,based on the NEFHS assessment framework,we build the adaptive capacity index( ACI) and the adaptive capacity change index( ACCI) to explore the development of adaptive capacity in11 cities. Then,the Obstacle Degree Model is applied to reveal obstacle factors in adaptation development. The results showed that during the study period,the adaptive capacity index in Zhejiang Province continued to rise,but the gap of urban adaptation development gradually widened. The improvement of adaptive capacity in Shaoxing,Ningbo,Zhoushan and Jinhua exceeded the average development of the whole province,while those in Quzhou,Lishui and Wenzhou were on the contrary. Human capital and natural capital are the main obstacles to the development of adaptive capacity in Zhejiang Province.更多还原